National Soccer League · Mar 09, 2026 18:30
Police
PWR 35
Al Merreikh
PWR 35
Police
PWR 35
0 - 1
FT
Al Merreikh
PWR 35
33%
27%
40%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Police Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (30%)1-0 (20%)0-1 (16%)1-1 (11%)2-0 (7%)0-2 (4%)
WRONG 0-1
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.5x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.7x
Over 2.5
12%
Under 2.5
88%
88%
BTTS
No
No 20%
Over 3.5
2%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Police
DDDLL
STABLE
Al Merreikh
DWWDD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk33%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateBoth teams defensive = 40.0% draw rateAway team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskHome team drew 3/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (33.0%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.67
Policevs
0.54
Al MerreikhGoal Probability
Police
0
51%
1
34%
2
12%
3
3%
4
0%
Al Merreikh
0
58%
1
32%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (35%)0-1 (19%)1-0 (18%)1-1 (10%)0-2 (5%)2-0 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 65% | 35% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 29% | 71% | UNDER |
| 2.5 | 9% | 91% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 1% | 100% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#5
Police-3
Gap#2
Al Merreikh
WR 50% 37 pts
WR 58% 44 pts
Police
6.0%
| Mar 01 | Police v Muhanga | 1-1 |
| Feb 25 | Police v Rutsiro | 0-0 |
| Feb 20 | Police v APR | 1-1 |
| Feb 13 | Police v Kiyovu … | 0-1 |
| Feb 08 | Police v AS Kiga… | 0-1 |
| Jan 11 | Police v Kiyovu … | 0-0 |
| Jan 08 | Police v Al Merr… | 1-1 |
| Jan 03 | Police v Gorilla | 4-0 |
| Dec 26 | Police v Bugesera | 1-0 |
| Dec 20 | Police v Etincel… | 0-1 |
Al Merreikh
14.0%
| Feb 27 | Al Merr… v Gasogi … | 1-1 |
| Feb 22 | Al Merr… v AS Kiga… | 0-1 |
| Feb 17 | Al Merr… v Al Hila… | 1-2 |
| Feb 13 | Al Merr… v Musanze | 1-1 |
| Feb 08 | Al Merr… v Marines | 1-1 |
| Jan 21 | Al Merr… v Kiyovu … | 2-2 |
| Jan 18 | Al Merr… v APR | 0-0 |
| Jan 11 | Al Merr… v Mukura | 1-1 |
| Jan 08 | Al Merr… v Police | 1-1 |
| Jan 05 | Al Merr… v Gasogi … | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Jan 08, 2026 | Al Merreikh | 1-1 | Police |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
44%
Market
43%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.