Persian Gulf Pro League · Feb 27, 2026 15:45

Esteghlal FC
PWR 35
2 - 1
FT

Fajr Sepasi
PWR 35
39% 26% 35%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
MASTER: Esteghlal FC to win (81% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
81%
TierMASTER
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (13%)1-1 (12%)2-0 (10%)2-1 (9%)0-0 (8%)0-1 (8%)
WRONG 2-1
All Markets
1X2 Suggested
H
Over 2.5
45%
Under 2.5
55%
BTTS
No 47%
Over 3.5
16%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Esteghlal FC WLLWL
STABLE
Fajr Sepasi WLWLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League has >30% draw rate
High draw league: Persian Gulf Pro League
Expected Goals (xG)
1.58
Esteghlal FC
vs
0.91
Fajr Sepasi
Goal Probability
Esteghlal FC
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
14%
4
5%
Fajr Sepasi
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
5%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (15%)1-1 (13%)0-0 (12%)0-1 (11%)2-0 (9%)2-1 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 88% 12% OVER
1.5 62% 38% -
2.5 35% 65% UNDER
3.5 16% 84% UNDER
4.5 6% 94% UNDER
5.5 2% 98% UNDER
6.5 1% 99% UNDER
League Position
#1
Esteghlal FC
+7
Gap
#8
Fajr Sepasi
WR 64% 41 pts WR 17% 30 pts
Esteghlal FC 8.0%
Feb 22 Esteghl… v Mes Raf… 0-1
Feb 17 Esteghl… v Al Huss… 3-2
Feb 10 Esteghl… v Al Huss… 0-1
Feb 05 Esteghl… v Shams A… 3-2
Feb 01 Esteghl… v Paykan 1-0
Jan 27 Esteghl… v Esteghl… 1-0
Jan 23 Esteghl… v ZOB Ahan 0-0
Jan 18 Esteghl… v Tractor 0-0
Jan 01 Esteghl… v Sepahan… 1-2
Dec 28 Esteghl… v Gol Goh… 0-1
Fajr Sepasi 12.0%
Feb 20 Fajr Se… v Shams A… 1-0
Feb 13 Fajr Se… v Esteghl… 1-0
Feb 06 Fajr Se… v Tractor 2-1
Feb 02 Fajr Se… v ZOB Ahan 2-1
Jan 28 Fajr Se… v Kheybar… 2-1
Jan 23 Fajr Se… v Gol Goh… 2-0
Jan 18 Fajr Se… v Persepo… 2-1
Dec 26 Fajr Se… v Foolad … 1-2
Dec 15 Fajr Se… v Malavan… 0-4
Dec 10 Fajr Se… v Chadorm… 1-2
Head-to-Head (3)
Oct 26, 2025 Fajr Sepasi 0-3 Esteghlal FC
Feb 23, 2022 Esteghlal FC 1-0 Fajr Sepasi
Nov 05, 2021 Fajr Sepasi 1-1 Esteghlal FC
Decision Breakdown
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
70%
Standings
74%
Market
50%
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Fajr Sepasi in strong form (3W in last 5)
Esteghlal FC struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.