Amapaense · Mar 09, 2026 23:00
Macapá
PWR 35
Independiente FSJ
PWR 49
Macapá
PWR 35
1 - 3
FT
Independiente FSJ
PWR 49
37%
27%
36%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
X2 (Away/Draw)
Double Chance · Odds imply 66% away + 20% draw = 86% combined
92%
accuracy
1.23x
Final Verdict
Prediction
Independiente FSJ Win
Score
1-2
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (49%)0-1 (18%)1-0 (17%)1-1 (6%)0-2 (3%)2-0 (3%)
CORRECT 1-3
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
3.09x
DC X2
86%
Away/Draw
1.23x
Over 2.5
4%
Under 2.5
96%
96%
BTTS
No
No 9%
Over 3.5
20%
Team Comparison
0Attack54
100Defense55
Goals/G
0.01.5
Conc/G
0.01.3
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Macapá
LLWDL
DOWN
Independiente …
DDWLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk30%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_POINTS_GAP
Full data available (Tier 1)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team draws 33% at home = very high riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (30.0%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
0.35
Macapávs
0.36
Independiente …Goal Probability
Macapá
0
71%
1
25%
2
4%
3
1%
4
0%
Independien…
0
70%
1
25%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-1 (13%)1-1 (13%)0-0 (10%)1-0 (9%)0-2 (9%)1-2 (9%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 90% | 10% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 67% | 33% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 41% | 59% | - |
| 3.5 | 21% | 80% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 9% | 91% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#6
Macapá-3
Gap#3
Independien…
WR 16% 15 pts
WR 36% 45 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Macapá | 25 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 24 | 54 | 15 |
| Independiente… | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 48 | 40 | 45 |
Macapá
6.0%
| Mar 06 | Macapá v Oratório | 3-0 |
| Mar 01 | Macapá v Ypirang… | 0-1 |
| Feb 22 | Macapá v Capital | 1-2 |
| Feb 15 | Macapá v São Jos… | 1-1 |
| Feb 07 | Macapá v Remo | 1-0 |
| Nov 09 | Macapá v 7 de Ab… | 2-0 |
| Nov 06 | Macapá v Serra M… | 2-1 |
| Nov 02 | Macapá v SE Belf… | 0-0 |
| Oct 19 | Macapá v Rio de … | 1-6 |
| Oct 13 | Macapá v Goytacaz | 0-1 |
Independiente …
12.0%
| Mar 05 | Indepen… v Santos | 2-2 |
| Feb 26 | Indepen… v Remo | 1-1 |
| Feb 21 | Indepen… v Oratório | 3-0 |
| Feb 18 | Indepen… v Ivinhema | 1-0 |
| Feb 13 | Indepen… v Capital | 0-3 |
| Feb 07 | Indepen… v Londrina | 1-1 |
| Feb 01 | Indepen… v Londrina | 1-1 |
| Jan 24 | Indepen… v Azuriz | 1-0 |
| Jan 21 | Indepen… v Corinth… | 0-1 |
| Jan 18 | Indepen… v Operári… | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Mar 03, 2024 | Macapá | 1-2 | Independiente… |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
50%
Market
35%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Macapá struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.