Premier League · Mar 09, 2026 00:00
Brittons Hill
PWR 35
Ellerton
PWR 35
Brittons Hill
PWR 35
3 - 1
FT
Ellerton
PWR 35
45%
25%
30%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
MASTER: Brittons Hill to win (79% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
79%
TierMASTER
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (12%)0-1 (9%)1-0 (9%)1-2 (8%)2-1 (8%)0-0 (7%)
WRONG 3-1
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%
BTTS
Yes 55%
Over 3.5
31%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Brittons Hill
WWWLD
UP
Ellerton
DWWWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk38%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateHome team draws 44% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 3/6 draws (50%) = VERY HIGH riskAway draws 44% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 89% = 50.7% draw rateElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.33
Brittons Hillvs
1.37
EllertonGoal Probability
Brittons Hi…
0
26%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4
3%
Ellerton
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (12%)1-0 (9%)2-1 (9%)0-1 (8%)1-2 (8%)2-0 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 94% | 6% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 77% | 23% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 54% | 46% | - |
| 3.5 | 32% | 69% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 16% | 84% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 7% | 93% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
League Position
#2
Brittons Hi…+1
Gap#3
Ellerton
WR 44% 33 pts
WR 44% 33 pts
Brittons Hill
14.0%
| Mar 01 | Britton… v Wotton | 3-2 |
| Feb 22 | Britton… v Paradise | 2-3 |
| Feb 15 | Britton… v St. And… | 1-0 |
| Feb 09 | Britton… v Weymout… | 3-0 |
| Feb 04 | Britton… v Bagatel… | 2-2 |
| Jan 26 | Britton… v Pride o… | 1-0 |
| May 25 | Britton… v Ellerton | 1-1 |
| May 04 | Britton… v Kick St… | 2-4 |
| Apr 30 | Britton… v UWI Bla… | 2-2 |
| Apr 14 | Britton… v Paradise | 1-1 |
Ellerton
14.0%
| Mar 04 | Ellerton v Paradise | 0-0 |
| Feb 24 | Ellerton v St. And… | 1-4 |
| Feb 16 | Ellerton v Weymout… | 1-0 |
| Feb 08 | Ellerton v Bagatel… | 1-0 |
| Feb 01 | Ellerton v Pride o… | 1-0 |
| Jan 25 | Ellerton v UWI Bla… | 1-0 |
| Jan 21 | Ellerton v Kick St… | 1-1 |
| May 25 | Ellerton v Britton… | 1-1 |
| May 18 | Ellerton v Kick St… | 3-1 |
| May 05 | Ellerton v Paradise | 1-3 |
Head-to-Head (6)
| May 25, 2025 | Ellerton | 1-1 | Brittons Hill |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Brittons Hill | 1-1 | Ellerton |
| Apr 15, 2024 | Brittons Hill | 1-1 | Ellerton |
| Feb 09, 2024 | Ellerton | 2-0 | Brittons Hill |
| Jul 27, 2023 | Brittons Hill | 1-2 | Ellerton |
| May 15, 2023 | Brittons Hill | 1-3 | Ellerton |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
52%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Brittons Hill in strong form (3W in last 5)
Ellerton in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.