Liga de ExpansiĂłn MX · Mar 08, 2026 03:00

Tlaxcala
PWR 35
CA La Paz
PWR 35
PWR 35
2 - 0
FT

Tlaxcala
PWR 35
41%
26%
33%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (8%)3-1 (7%)2-0 (6%)2-1 (6%)1-0 (3%)3-2 (3%)
WRONG 2-0
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
65%
65%
Under 2.5
35%
BTTS
Yes 57%
Over 3.5
38%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
CA La Paz
WLDWD
STABLE
Tlaxcala
WDWLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Liga de ExpansiĂłn MX
Expected Goals (xG)
3.94
CA La Pazvs
0.87
TlaxcalaGoal Probability
CA La Paz
0
2%
1
8%
2
15%
3
20%
4
20%
Tlaxcala
0
42%
1
36%
2
16%
3
5%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (11%)1-0 (10%)2-1 (10%)1-1 (9%)3-0 (8%)3-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 96% | 5% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 82% | 18% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 60% | 40% | - |
| 3.5 | 38% | 62% | - |
| 4.5 | 20% | 80% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 10% | 91% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
League Position
#10
CA La Paz+2
Gap#12
Tlaxcala
WR 46% 17 pts
WR 9% 14 pts
CA La Paz
12.0%
| Mar 05 | CA La P… v Leones … | 3-0 |
| Mar 01 | CA La P… v Monarcas | 1-0 |
| Feb 08 | CA La P… v Dorados | 2-2 |
| Jan 31 | CA La P… v Venados… | 1-0 |
| Jan 24 | CA La P… v Mineros… | 0-0 |
| Jan 17 | CA La P… v Correca… | 0-3 |
| Jan 10 | CA La P… v TapatĂo | 2-2 |
| Nov 08 | CA La P… v Atlante… | 0-6 |
| Nov 01 | CA La P… v Tepatit… | 0-1 |
| Oct 25 | CA La P… v Irapuato | 2-2 |
Tlaxcala
14.0%
| Mar 01 | Tlaxcala v Tepatit… | 1-0 |
| Feb 14 | Tlaxcala v Alebrij… | 0-0 |
| Feb 08 | Tlaxcala v Leones … | 5-2 |
| Jan 31 | Tlaxcala v Correca… | 2-1 |
| Jan 25 | Tlaxcala v Irapuato | 2-1 |
| Jan 17 | Tlaxcala v CancĂşn | 1-0 |
| Jan 10 | Tlaxcala v Mineros… | 4-1 |
| Nov 07 | Tlaxcala v Venados… | 5-1 |
| Nov 02 | Tlaxcala v Monarcas | 0-1 |
| Oct 26 | Tlaxcala v Dorados | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (7)
| Sep 28, 2025 | Tlaxcala | 3-3 | CA La Paz |
| Jan 11, 2025 | CA La Paz | 4-4 | Tlaxcala |
| Jul 27, 2024 | Tlaxcala | 0-2 | CA La Paz |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Tlaxcala | 2-3 | CA La Paz |
| Sep 27, 2023 | CA La Paz | 1-0 | Tlaxcala |
| Apr 04, 2023 | Tlaxcala | 1-0 | CA La Paz |
| Aug 10, 2022 | CA La Paz | 2-2 | Tlaxcala |
Decision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
64%
Market
50%
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Tlaxcala in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.