Liga de Expansión MX · Mar 08, 2026 01:00

Alebrijes de Oaxaca
PWR 35
Irapuato
PWR 35
PWR 35
6 - 2
FT

Alebrijes de Oaxaca
PWR 35
37%
27%
36%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (62% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
62%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
3-1 (8%)3-0 (7%)2-1 (6%)2-0 (6%)3-2 (4%)2-2 (4%)
WRONG 6-2
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
70%
70%
Under 2.5
30%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 66%
Over 3.5
77%
77%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Irapuato
LLWWL
DOWN
Alebrijes de O…
WWWLD
UP
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Liga de Expansión MX
Expected Goals (xG)
3.59
Irapuatovs
1.14
Alebrijes de O…Goal Probability
Irapuato
0
3%
1
10%
2
18%
3
21%
4
19%
Alebrijes d…
0
32%
1
37%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
CORRECT SCORES
3-2 (6%)2-2 (6%)3-1 (6%)2-1 (5%)4-2 (5%)4-1 (4%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 100% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 97% | 3% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 90% | 10% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 77% | 23% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 61% | 39% | - |
| 5.5 | 43% | 57% | - |
| 6.5 | 28% | 72% | UNDER |
League Position
#4
Irapuato+9
Gap#13
Alebrijes d…
WR 50% 23 pts
WR 27% 13 pts
Irapuato
8.0%
| Feb 26 | Irapuato v Atlante… | 0-5 |
| Feb 21 | Irapuato v Tepatit… | 2-1 |
| Feb 14 | Irapuato v Dorados | 5-0 |
| Feb 08 | Irapuato v CDS Tam… | 0-1 |
| Jan 25 | Irapuato v Tlaxcala | 2-1 |
| Jan 18 | Irapuato v Leones … | 4-1 |
| Jan 10 | Irapuato v Venados… | 4-1 |
| Dec 07 | Irapuato v CDS Tam… | 1-0 |
| Nov 30 | Irapuato v CDS Tam… | 0-0 |
| Nov 23 | Irapuato v Monarcas | 1-1 |
Alebrijes de O…
14.0%
| Mar 07 | Alebrij… v Poza Ri… | 5-1 |
| Feb 27 | Alebrij… v Dorados | 3-2 |
| Feb 22 | Alebrij… v CDM | 1-2 |
| Feb 21 | Alebrij… v Atlante… | 1-0 |
| Feb 14 | Alebrij… v Tlaxcala | 0-0 |
| Feb 14 | Alebrij… v Deporti… | 0-0 |
| Feb 07 | Alebrij… v Venados… | 3-3 |
| Feb 07 | Alebrij… v Artesan… | 2-1 |
| Feb 03 | Alebrij… v Caja Ob… | 2-2 |
| Jan 31 | Alebrij… v Mineros… | 2-0 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Sep 28, 2025 | Alebrijes de … | 0-2 | Irapuato |
Decision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
78%
Market
50%
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Alebrijes de Oaxaca in strong form (3W in last 5)
Irapuato struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.