Azerbaijan Premier League · Mar 09, 2026 16:30
Neftchi Baku
PWR 35
Turan Tovuz
PWR 35
Neftchi Baku
PWR 35
0 - 1
FT
Turan Tovuz
PWR 35
45%
25%
30%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Turan Tovuz Win
Score
1-2
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (38%)0-1 (25%)1-0 (11%)0-2 (9%)1-1 (8%)1-2 (3%)
CORRECT 0-1
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.47x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.75x
Over 2.5
7%
Under 2.5
93%
93%
BTTS
No
No 13%
Over 3.5
8%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Neftchi Baku
DWWWD
STABLE
Turan Tovuz
WDWWD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk33%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_FORM_MOMENTUM
Full data available (Tier 1)Home team draws 54% at home = very high riskH2H: 5/10 draws (50%) = VERY HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesCombined DR 80% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (33.1%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
0.30
Neftchi Bakuvs
0.67
Turan TovuzGoal Probability
Neftchi Baku
0
74%
1
22%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
Turan Tovuz
0
51%
1
34%
2
12%
3
3%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (19%)0-1 (16%)1-0 (16%)1-1 (13%)0-2 (7%)2-0 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 81% | 19% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 49% | 51% | - |
| 2.5 | 23% | 77% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#7
Neftchi Baku-4
Gap#3
Turan Tovuz
WR 18% 31 pts
WR 58% 44 pts
Neftchi Baku
16.0%
| Feb 28 | Neftchi… v Şamaxı | 2-2 |
| Feb 15 | Neftchi… v Kəpəz | 1-3 |
| Feb 10 | Neftchi… v Qabala | 1-0 |
| Feb 01 | Neftchi… v Araz | 0-4 |
| Jan 23 | Neftchi… v Zira | 0-0 |
| Dec 20 | Neftchi… v Karvan | 1-2 |
| Dec 15 | Neftchi… v Sumqayıt | 2-2 |
| Dec 08 | Neftchi… v Sabah FA | 2-0 |
| Dec 02 | Neftchi… v Zira | 1-0 |
| Nov 30 | Neftchi… v Xorazm | 2-0 |
Turan Tovuz
16.0%
| Mar 05 | Turan T… v Kəpəz | 0-2 |
| Mar 01 | Turan T… v Mil-Muğ… | 0-0 |
| Feb 24 | Turan T… v Qabala | 0-3 |
| Feb 20 | Turan T… v Zira | 2-0 |
| Feb 16 | Turan T… v Şamaxı | 0-0 |
| Feb 09 | Turan T… v Karvan | 1-0 |
| Feb 05 | Turan T… v Kəpəz | 1-0 |
| Feb 01 | Turan T… v Qarabağ… | 1-0 |
| Jan 25 | Turan T… v Sumqayıt | 2-1 |
| Dec 19 | Turan T… v Kəpəz | 0-2 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Nov 28, 2025 | Turan Tovuz | 0-0 | Neftchi Baku |
| Aug 29, 2025 | Neftchi Baku | 0-1 | Turan Tovuz |
| May 10, 2025 | Turan Tovuz | 1-2 | Neftchi Baku |
| Mar 10, 2025 | Neftchi Baku | 1-1 | Turan Tovuz |
| Dec 21, 2024 | Turan Tovuz | 1-1 | Neftchi Baku |
| Aug 03, 2024 | Neftchi Baku | 0-0 | Turan Tovuz |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Neftchi Baku | 3-0 | Turan Tovuz |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Turan Tovuz | 1-1 | Neftchi Baku |
| Dec 10, 2023 | Neftchi Baku | 3-2 | Turan Tovuz |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Turan Tovuz | 0-1 | Neftchi Baku |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
46%
Standings
42%
Market
45%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Neftchi Baku in strong form (3W in last 5)
Turan Tovuz in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.