Premier League · Mar 10, 2026 19:30
El Gouna
PWR 35
Al-Masry SC
PWR 35
El Gouna
PWR 35
1 - 0
FT
Al-Masry SC
PWR 35
43%
25%
32%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
0-1 (15%)1-1 (13%)0-0 (12%)1-0 (10%)0-2 (9%)1-2 (8%)
WRONG 1-0
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.81x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.41x
Over 2.5
36%
Under 2.5
64%
64%
BTTS
No 42%
Over 3.5
8%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
El Gouna
DWDLD
STABLE
Al-Masry SC
WLDWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk38%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityHome team draws 70% at home = very high riskBoth teams low-scoring = 37.8% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw rateH2H: 4/10 draws (40%) = VERY HIGH riskHome team drew 3/5 recent gamesAway draws 50% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 120% = 50.7% draw rateElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.88
El Gounavs
1.26
Al-Masry SCGoal Probability
El Gouna
0
42%
1
37%
2
16%
3
5%
4
1%
Al-Masry SC
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4
3%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (20%)0-1 (17%)1-0 (15%)1-1 (13%)0-2 (7%)2-0 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 80% | 20% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 47% | 53% | - |
| 2.5 | 21% | 79% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#10
El Gouna-5
Gap#5
Al-Masry SC
WR 10% 28 pts
WR 20% 32 pts
El Gouna
10.0%
| Mar 06 | El Gouna v Wadi De… | 0-0 |
| Feb 28 | El Gouna v Ismaily… | 1-2 |
| Feb 23 | El Gouna v El Moka… | 1-1 |
| Feb 19 | El Gouna v Al Wasl… | 1-0 |
| Feb 06 | El Gouna v Coca-Co… | 1-1 |
| Jan 28 | El Gouna v Al Assi… | 1-1 |
| Jan 20 | El Gouna v Al Assi… | 0-3 |
| Jan 17 | El Gouna v Coca-Co… | 0-2 |
| Jan 06 | El Gouna v Petrojet | 1-3 |
| Jan 01 | El Gouna v Wadi De… | 0-1 |
Al-Masry SC
10.0%
| Mar 06 | Al-Masr… v Ismaily… | 2-0 |
| Mar 01 | Al-Masr… v Enppi | 3-2 |
| Feb 28 | Al-Masr… v Al Wasl… | 1-1 |
| Feb 25 | Al-Masr… v Coca-Co… | 1-0 |
| Feb 24 | Al-Masr… v Zamalek… | 1-2 |
| Feb 20 | Al-Masr… v Ghazl E… | 0-0 |
| Feb 19 | Al-Masr… v El Moka… | 1-1 |
| Feb 14 | Al-Masr… v Haras E… | 1-1 |
| Feb 11 | Al-Masr… v Wadi De… | 1-1 |
| Feb 08 | Al-Masr… v Kaizer … | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Aug 30, 2025 | El Gouna | 1-1 | Al-Masry SC |
| Nov 09, 2024 | Al-Masry SC | 0-0 | El Gouna |
| Jul 01, 2024 | Al-Masry SC | 2-1 | El Gouna |
| Feb 13, 2024 | El Gouna | 2-2 | Al-Masry SC |
| Jan 26, 2024 | Al-Masry SC | 2-1 | El Gouna |
| Jun 18, 2022 | Al-Masry SC | 1-0 | El Gouna |
| Nov 22, 2021 | El Gouna | 0-3 | Al-Masry SC |
| Apr 11, 2021 | Al-Masry SC | 1-0 | El Gouna |
| Dec 17, 2020 | El Gouna | 1-1 | Al-Masry SC |
| Oct 05, 2020 | El Gouna | 0-2 | Al-Masry SC |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
46%
Standings
40%
Market
35%
High draw risk (53%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.