Division 2 · Mar 07, 2026 19:00
Al Shabab
PWR 41
Afif
PWR 35
PWR 35
1 - 3
FT
Al Shabab
PWR 41
49%
24%
27%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (9%)2-1 (9%)1-2 (7%)2-2 (7%)1-0 (6%)3-1 (6%)
WRONG 1-3
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
66%
66%
Under 2.5
34%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 68%
Over 3.5
24%
Team Comparison
0Attack47
100Defense42
Goals/G
0.01.3
Conc/G
0.01.7
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Afif
WWDLD
STABLE
Al Shabab
WLLWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityWR diff only 5% = 35.1% draw rateHome team draws 38% at home = very high riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesCombined DR 64% = 50.7% draw rate
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 7%, PPG diff 0.1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.93
Afifvs
1.59
Al ShababGoal Probability
Afif
0
15%
1
28%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
Al Shabab
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4
5%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (13%)1-0 (11%)0-1 (10%)0-0 (8%)2-1 (8%)1-2 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 92% | 8% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 71% | 29% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 45% | 55% | - |
| 3.5 | 24% | 76% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#17
Afif-15
Gap#2
Al Shabab
WR 29% 8 pts
WR 33% 24 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Afif | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 8 |
| Al Shabab | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 28 | 35 | 24 |
Afif
12.0%
| Feb 27 | Afif v Al-Sadd | 2-1 |
| Feb 21 | Afif v Al Najma | 0-2 |
| Feb 16 | Afif v Al Shab… | 0-0 |
| Feb 11 | Afif v Al-Batin | 1-2 |
| Feb 06 | Afif v Tuwaiq | 0-0 |
| Jan 31 | Afif v Jerash | 1-2 |
Al Shabab
8.0%
| Mar 06 | Al Shab… v Arar | 2-1 |
| Feb 28 | Al Shab… v Hetten … | 2-1 |
| Feb 27 | Al Shab… v Al Taee | 1-2 |
| Feb 27 | Al Shab… v Najran | 0-1 |
| Feb 27 | Al Shab… v Al-Ahli… | 3-5 |
| Feb 23 | Al Shab… v Al Riya… | 3-1 |
| Feb 22 | Al Shab… v Al Loa | 0-1 |
| Feb 21 | Al Shab… v Najran | 1-0 |
| Feb 21 | Al Shab… v Al-Batin | 4-3 |
| Feb 20 | Al Shab… v Damac | 1-3 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Feb 16, 2026 | Al Shabab | 0-0 | Afif |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
64%
Standings
50%
Market
30%
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Al Shabab struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.