First League · Mar 09, 2026 16:00
CSKA Sofia
PWR 35
Lokomotiv Sofia
PWR 35
CSKA Sofia
PWR 35
1 - 0
FT
Lokomotiv Sofia
PWR 35
61%
22%
17%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
1X (Home/Draw)
Double Chance · Odds imply 71% home + 20% draw = 90% combined
95%
accuracy
1.16x
Final Verdict
Prediction
CSKA Sofia Win
Score
3-1
Confidence
68%
TierGOLD
LIKELY SCORES
3-1 (8%)3-0 (7%)2-1 (6%)2-0 (6%)3-2 (4%)1-1 (3%)
CORRECT 1-0
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
90%
Home/Draw
1.16x
DC X2
Away/Draw
3.59x
Over 2.5
68%
68%
Under 2.5
32%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 63%
Over 3.5
51%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
CSKA Sofia
WWLWW
STABLE
Lokomotiv Sofia
LLWDL
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy73%
FORM_MOMENTUMFORM_DOMINANTPOINTS_GAP
Full data available (Tier 1)Consider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (26.0%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
3.66
CSKA Sofiavs
1.04
Lokomotiv SofiaGoal Probability
CSKA Sofia
0
3%
1
9%
2
17%
3
21%
4
19%
Lokomotiv S…
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
7%
4
2%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (11%)3-0 (11%)2-1 (8%)3-1 (8%)4-0 (8%)1-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 98% | 2% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 89% | 11% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 72% | 28% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 51% | 49% | - |
| 4.5 | 32% | 68% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 17% | 83% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
League Position
#4
CSKA Sofia+6
Gap#10
Lokomotiv S…
WR 69% 46 pts
WR 33% 30 pts
CSKA Sofia
16.0%
| Mar 08 | CSKA So… v Lokomot… | 2-0 |
| Mar 06 | CSKA So… v Spartak… | 4-0 |
| Mar 05 | CSKA So… v Ludogor… | 1-0 |
| Mar 04 | CSKA So… v Botev V… | 1-0 |
| Mar 03 | CSKA So… v Beroe | 0-3 |
| Mar 01 | CSKA So… v Lokomot… | 4-3 |
| Feb 28 | CSKA So… v Septemv… | 2-0 |
| Feb 27 | CSKA So… v CSKA 19… | 0-2 |
| Feb 22 | CSKA So… v CSKA 19… | 1-3 |
| Feb 21 | CSKA So… v CSKA So… | 1-0 |
Lokomotiv Sofia
6.0%
| Mar 08 | Lokomot… v CSKA So… | 2-0 |
| Mar 05 | Lokomot… v CSKA 19… | 0-5 |
| Mar 05 | Lokomot… v Dobrudz… | 3-1 |
| Mar 02 | Lokomot… v Ludogor… | 1-1 |
| Mar 01 | Lokomot… v CSKA So… | 4-3 |
| Feb 21 | Lokomot… v Spartak… | 1-1 |
| Feb 15 | Lokomot… v Cherno … | 1-1 |
| Feb 13 | Lokomot… v Spartak… | 2-2 |
| Feb 12 | Lokomot… v Botev P… | 1-0 |
| Feb 08 | Lokomot… v CSKA So… | 0-2 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Mar 08, 2026 | CSKA Sofia | 2-0 | Lokomotiv Sof… |
| Mar 01, 2026 | CSKA Sofia | 4-3 | Lokomotiv Sof… |
| Feb 08, 2026 | CSKA Sofia | 0-2 | Lokomotiv Sof… |
| Dec 13, 2025 | CSKA Sofia | 2-1 | Lokomotiv Sof… |
| Dec 03, 2025 | CSKA Sofia | 2-1 | Lokomotiv Sof… |
| Oct 03, 2025 | CSKA Sofia | 2-0 | Lokomotiv Sof… |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Lokomotiv Sof… | 1-1 | CSKA Sofia |
| Sep 26, 2025 | Lokomotiv Sof… | 1-0 | CSKA Sofia |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Lokomotiv Sof… | 1-2 | CSKA Sofia |
| Aug 15, 2025 | Lokomotiv Sof… | 2-1 | CSKA Sofia |
Decision Breakdown
ODDS60+M70 (77.4%)M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
72%
Market
93%
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
CSKA Sofia in strong form (4W in last 5)
Lokomotiv Sofia struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.