Championship · Mar 11, 2026 19:45
Middlesbrough
PWR 41
Charlton
PWR 32
Middlesbrough
PWR 41
0 - 1
FT
Charlton
PWR 32
51%
24%
25%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
1X (Home/Draw)
Double Chance · Odds imply 68% home + 20% draw = 88% combined
92%
accuracy
1.19x
Final Verdict
Prediction
Middlesbrough Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
77%
TierPREMIUM
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (22%)1-0 (22%)3-0 (15%)0-0 (11%)2-1 (4%)1-1 (4%)
WRONG 0-1
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
88%
Home/Draw
1.19x
DC X2
Away/Draw
3.28x
Over 2.5
37%
Under 2.5
63%
63%
BTTS
No
No 16%
Over 3.5
16%
Team Comparison
47Attack30
71Defense61
Goals/G
1.61.0
Conc/G
1.01.3
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Middlesbrough
WWDDL
STABLE
Charlton
WLDDL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk30%
Accuracy77%
FORM_MOMENTUMFORM_DOMINANTPOSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAP
Full data available (Tier 1)Away team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesCombined DR 65% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (29.7%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.02
Middlesbroughvs
0.20
CharltonGoal Probability
Middlesbrou…
0
13%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
Charlton
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (20%)2-0 (17%)0-0 (12%)3-0 (9%)1-1 (9%)2-1 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 88% | 12% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 62% | 38% | - |
| 2.5 | 35% | 65% | - |
| 3.5 | 16% | 84% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#2
Middlesbrou…+15
Gap#17
Charlton
WR 56% 69 pts
WR 21% 47 pts
Middlesbrough
12.0%
| Mar 08 | Middles… v QPR | 0-4 |
| Mar 02 | Middles… v Birming… | 1-3 |
| Feb 24 | Middles… v Leicest… | 1-1 |
| Feb 21 | Middles… v Oxford … | 0-0 |
| Feb 16 | Middles… v Coventry | 3-1 |
| Feb 09 | Middles… v Sheffie… | 1-2 |
| Jan 31 | Middles… v Norwich… | 1-0 |
| Jan 24 | Middles… v Preston | 4-0 |
| Jan 21 | Middles… v Stoke C… | 1-2 |
| Jan 16 | Middles… v West Br… | 2-3 |
Charlton
8.0%
| Mar 07 | Charlton v Birming… | 1-0 |
| Feb 28 | Charlton v Wrexham | 0-1 |
| Feb 24 | Charlton v West Br… | 1-1 |
| Feb 21 | Charlton v Southam… | 1-1 |
| Feb 17 | Charlton v Portsmo… | 1-3 |
| Feb 11 | Charlton v Stoke C… | 1-0 |
| Feb 06 | Charlton v QPR | 0-0 |
| Jan 31 | Charlton v Leicest… | 0-2 |
| Jan 24 | Charlton v Millwall | 4-0 |
| Jan 20 | Charlton v Derby | 1-2 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Dec 09, 2025 | Charlton | 1-2 | Middlesbrough |
Decision Breakdown
ODDS60+M70 (77.4%)TOP3vsBot (75.8%)M85+S60 (75.3%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
91%
Standings
90%
Market
69%
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.