EFL Trophy · Feb 24, 2026 19:00
Bolton
PWR 39
Plymouth
PWR 33
Bolton
PWR 39
2 - 1
FT
Plymouth
PWR 33
35%
27%
38%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
ELITE: Bolton to win (95% confidence)
Score
2-1
Confidence
95%
TierELITE
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (13%)1-0 (11%)0-1 (10%)0-0 (9%)2-1 (8%)1-2 (8%)
WRONG 2-1
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.53x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.82x
Over 2.5
44%
Under 2.5
56%
BTTS
Yes 50%
Over 3.5
72%
72%
Team Comparison
38Attack37
73Defense57
Goals/G
1.31.2
Conc/G
0.91.4
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Bolton
DDDLD
STABLE
Plymouth
WWWLL
UP
Key Players
Bolton
Sam Dalby
2G
Corey Blackett-…
1G
John McAtee
1A
Kyle Dempsey
George Johnston
Plymouth
Aribim Pepple
1G
Ronan Curtis
Caleb Watts
1G
Brendan Sarpong…
1A
Mathias Ross
1A
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): EFL Trophy
Expected Goals (xG)
1.28
Boltonvs
1.18
PlymouthGoal Probability
Bolton
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4
3%
Plymouth
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4
3%
CORRECT SCORES
2-2 (7%)2-1 (6%)3-2 (6%)3-1 (5%)1-2 (5%)2-3 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 87% | 13% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 72% | 28% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 54% | 46% | - |
| 5.5 | 37% | 64% | - |
| 6.5 | 22% | 78% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
Bolton+1
Gap#2
Plymouth
WR 100% 9 pts
WR 0% 6 pts
Bolton
8.0%
| Feb 21 | Bolton v Blackpo… | 2-2 |
| Feb 21 | Bolton v Tamworth | 0-0 |
| Feb 21 | Bolton v Brighto… | 1-1 |
| Feb 18 | Bolton v Wigan | 1-0 |
| Feb 17 | Bolton v Reading… | 1-1 |
| Feb 14 | Bolton v Cardiff | 3-1 |
| Feb 14 | Bolton v Lincoln | 1-1 |
| Feb 14 | Bolton v Scuntho… | 3-6 |
| Feb 10 | Bolton v Gateshe… | 1-0 |
| Feb 07 | Bolton v Burnley | 3-2 |
Plymouth
12.0%
| Feb 21 | Plymouth v Cardiff | 5-2 |
| Feb 17 | Plymouth v Leyton … | 1-3 |
| Feb 14 | Plymouth v Blackpo… | 0-4 |
| Feb 07 | Plymouth v Lincoln | 1-4 |
| Jan 31 | Plymouth v Stockpo… | 2-1 |
| Jan 27 | Plymouth v Mansfie… | 1-1 |
| Jan 24 | Plymouth v Bolton | 1-0 |
| Jan 17 | Plymouth v Peterbo… | 0-1 |
| Jan 13 | Plymouth v Bristol… | 3-4 |
| Jan 04 | Plymouth v Brighto… | 3-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Jan 24, 2026 | Plymouth | 1-0 | Bolton |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Bolton | 2-3 | Plymouth |
| Aug 09, 2025 | Bolton | 2-0 | Plymouth |
| Feb 19, 2025 | Bolton | 1-1 | Plymouth |
| Sep 27, 2024 | Plymouth | 3-1 | Bolton |
| Sep 27, 2024 | Plymouth | 3-1 | Bolton |
| Apr 02, 2023 | Bolton | 4-0 | Plymouth |
| Jan 07, 2023 | Bolton | 0-0 | Plymouth |
| Aug 27, 2022 | Plymouth | 2-0 | Bolton |
| Mar 12, 2022 | Bolton | 0-1 | Plymouth |
Decision Breakdown
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
82%
Market
47%
High draw risk (49%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Plymouth in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.