Super Cup · Feb 17, 2026 15:00
Riga FC
PWR 56
Auda
PWR 12
Riga FC
PWR 56
4 - 1
FT
Auda
PWR 12
59%
22%
19%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
Over 2.5
Goals · Home scores 2.5/g, Away concedes 4.0/g, expected 4.8 goals
75%
accuracy
1.75x
Final Verdict
Prediction
Riga FC Win
Score
3-1
Confidence
68%
TierGOLD
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (7%)3-1 (6%)2-0 (5%)2-1 (4%)3-2 (3%)1-0 (2%)
CORRECT 4-1
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
61%
61%
Under 2.5
39%
BTTS
Yes 58%
Over 3.5
64%
64%
Team Comparison
88Attack35
30Defense0
Goals/G
2.51.0
Conc/G
2.04.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Riga FC
WDWLD
STABLE
Auda
DLLLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy73%
FORM_MOMENTUMAWAY_LEAKINGFORM_DOMINANT
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (26.3%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
Riga FCvs
0.89
AudaGoal Probability
Riga FC
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Auda
0
41%
1
37%
2
16%
3
5%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
3-1 (8%)3-0 (7%)2-1 (7%)2-0 (7%)4-1 (7%)4-0 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 93% | 7% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 82% | 18% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 64% | 36% | - |
| 4.5 | 45% | 55% | - |
| 5.5 | 28% | 72% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 16% | 84% | UNDER |
League Position
#2
Riga FC+1
Gap#3
Auda
WR 50% 3 pts
WR 0% 0 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riga FC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| Auda | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
Riga FC
12.0%
| Feb 05 | Riga FC v Shakhta… | 0-1 |
| Jan 27 | Riga FC v Pyunik … | 1-1 |
| Jan 23 | Riga FC v Žilina | 3-2 |
| Nov 07 | Riga FC v RÄ«gas FS | 3-4 |
| Nov 02 | Riga FC v Grobiņa | 1-1 |
| Oct 29 | Riga FC v Auda | 1-2 |
| Oct 24 | Riga FC v Tukums | 0-0 |
| Oct 19 | Riga FC v Metta /… | 0-1 |
| Oct 03 | Riga FC v FK Liep… | 3-0 |
| Sep 29 | Riga FC v BFC Dau… | 0-1 |
Auda
2.0%
| Nov 09 | Auda v Grobiņa | 2-2 |
| Nov 02 | Auda v Tukums | 0-1 |
| Oct 29 | Auda v Riga FC | 1-2 |
| Oct 26 | Auda v Metta /… | 3-2 |
| Oct 20 | Auda v FK Liep… | 1-2 |
| Oct 05 | Auda v BFC Dau… | 1-0 |
| Sep 27 | Auda v FS Jelg… | 1-1 |
| Sep 22 | Auda v Super N… | 3-2 |
| Sep 13 | Auda v Riga FC | 6-0 |
| Aug 31 | Auda v RÄ«gas FS | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (9)
| Oct 29, 2025 | Auda | 1-2 | Riga FC |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Riga FC | 6-0 | Auda |
| Jun 27, 2025 | Auda | 1-3 | Riga FC |
| May 05, 2025 | Auda | 1-3 | Riga FC |
| Mar 10, 2025 | Riga FC | 2-2 | Auda |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Auda | 2-2 | Riga FC |
| Jun 26, 2024 | Riga FC | 1-0 | Auda |
| May 05, 2024 | Auda | 1-2 | Riga FC |
| Mar 16, 2024 | Riga FC | 1-0 | Auda |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
Key Factors
Auda struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.