Carioca - 1 · Mar 08, 2026 19:00
Nova Iguaçu
PWR 35
Nova Iguaçu
PWR 35
2 - 0
FT
Sampaio Corrêa
PWR 35
PWR 35
37%
27%
36%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-2 (7%)2-1 (6%)3-2 (6%)3-1 (5%)1-2 (5%)2-3 (5%)
WRONG 2-0
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
79%
79%
Under 2.5
21%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 83%
Over 3.5
41%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Nova Iguaçu
DDDDL
STABLE
Sampaio Corrêa
LWDWD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Carioca
Expected Goals (xG)
2.74
Nova Iguaçuvs
2.18
Sampaio CorrêaGoal Probability
Nova Iguaçu
0
7%
1
18%
2
24%
3
22%
4
15%
Sampaio Cor…
0
11%
1
25%
2
27%
3
20%
4
11%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (10%)2-1 (10%)1-0 (9%)1-1 (9%)3-0 (8%)3-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 83% | 17% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 63% | 37% | - |
| 3.5 | 41% | 59% | - |
| 4.5 | 23% | 77% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
League Position
#5
Nova Iguaçu+1
Gap#6
Sampaio Cor…
WR 17% 5 pts
WR 33% 7 pts
Nova Iguaçu
8.0%
| Mar 04 | Nova Ig… v Lagarto | 1-1 |
| Mar 01 | Nova Ig… v Maringá | 2-2 |
| Feb 26 | Nova Ig… v Portugu… | 1-1 |
| Feb 23 | Nova Ig… v Sampaio… | 1-1 |
| Feb 16 | Nova Ig… v Maringá | 0-1 |
| Feb 11 | Nova Ig… v Portugu… | 1-1 |
| Feb 08 | Nova Ig… v Portugu… | 1-0 |
| Jan 30 | Nova Ig… v Bangu | 1-2 |
| Jan 26 | Nova Ig… v Volta R… | 2-2 |
| Jan 23 | Nova Ig… v Flumine… | 2-3 |
Sampaio Corrêa
12.0%
| Mar 02 | Sampaio… v Portugu… | 2-0 |
| Feb 26 | Sampaio… v Maringá | 2-1 |
| Feb 23 | Sampaio… v Nova Ig… | 1-1 |
| Feb 20 | Sampaio… v Portugu… | 3-2 |
| Feb 17 | Sampaio… v Desport… | 1-1 |
| Feb 12 | Sampaio… v Maringá | 0-4 |
| Feb 11 | Sampaio… v Maranhã… | 0-2 |
| Feb 08 | Sampaio… v Flamengo | 7-1 |
| Feb 07 | Sampaio… v Maranhã… | 0-3 |
| Feb 01 | Sampaio… v ITZ Spo… | 6-0 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Feb 23, 2026 | Sampaio Corrêa | 1-1 | Nova Iguaçu |
| Jan 15, 2026 | Sampaio Corrêa | 1-3 | Nova Iguaçu |
| Jan 15, 2025 | Nova Iguaçu | 1-0 | Sampaio Corrêa |
| Jan 18, 2024 | Nova Iguaçu | 2-1 | Sampaio Corrêa |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
68%
Standings
47%
Market
50%
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.