Carioca - 1 · Mar 08, 2026 19:00
Portuguesa RJ
PWR 35
Portuguesa RJ
PWR 35
5 - 2
FT
Maringá
PWR 29
PWR 29
53%
23%
24%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Portuguesa RJ to win (63% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
63%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (12%)1-0 (11%)2-1 (9%)2-0 (8%)0-1 (8%)0-0 (7%)
WRONG 5-2
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%
BTTS
Yes 53%
Over 3.5
66%
66%
Team Comparison
0Attack33
100Defense34
Goals/G
0.00.9
Conc/G
0.01.9
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Portuguesa RJ
WWDDW
STABLE
Maringá
DLWLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Carioca
Expected Goals (xG)
1.57
Portuguesa RJvs
1.12
MaringáGoal Probability
Portuguesa …
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
13%
4
5%
Maringá
0
33%
1
37%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
CORRECT SCORES
3-1 (8%)2-1 (8%)4-1 (6%)3-0 (6%)2-0 (6%)3-2 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 94% | 6% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 83% | 18% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 66% | 34% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 47% | 53% | - |
| 5.5 | 30% | 71% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 17% | 83% | UNDER |
League Position
#7
Portuguesa …+5
Gap#12
Maringá
WR 30% 42 pts
WR 18% 11 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portuguesa RJ | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 44 | 41 | 42 |
| Maringá | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 16 | 32 | 11 |
Portuguesa RJ
16.0%
| Mar 05 | Portugu… v Maracan… | 1-0 |
| Mar 02 | Portugu… v Sampaio… | 2-0 |
| Mar 01 | Portugu… v Ivinhema | 2-2 |
| Feb 26 | Portugu… v Nova Ig… | 1-1 |
| Feb 23 | Portugu… v Maringá | 0-2 |
| Feb 22 | Portugu… v Cr Aqui… | 2-0 |
| Feb 22 | Portugu… v Corinth… | 1-1 |
| Feb 20 | Portugu… v Sampaio… | 3-2 |
| Feb 18 | Portugu… v Paranoá | 2-0 |
| Feb 15 | Portugu… v Mirassol | 1-2 |
Maringá
10.0%
| Mar 01 | Maringá v Nova Ig… | 2-2 |
| Feb 26 | Maringá v Sampaio… | 2-1 |
| Feb 24 | Maringá v Boavista | 2-3 |
| Feb 23 | Maringá v Portugu… | 0-2 |
| Feb 16 | Maringá v Nova Ig… | 0-1 |
| Feb 12 | Maringá v Sampaio… | 0-4 |
| Feb 08 | Maringá v Flumine… | 1-0 |
| Feb 07 | Maringá v Aruko S… | 2-0 |
| Feb 02 | Maringá v Volta R… | 1-2 |
| Feb 01 | Maringá v Aruko S… | 0-5 |
Head-to-Head (7)
| Feb 23, 2026 | Maringá | 0-2 | Portuguesa RJ |
| Jan 18, 2026 | Portuguesa RJ | 0-1 | Maringá |
| Sep 06, 2025 | Portuguesa RJ | 1-1 | Maringá |
| Sep 03, 2025 | Maringá | 0-2 | Portuguesa RJ |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Portuguesa RJ | 3-1 | Maringá |
| Aug 28, 2024 | Portuguesa RJ | 1-2 | Maringá |
| Aug 21, 2024 | Maringá | 2-2 | Portuguesa RJ |
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player
40%
Momentum
66%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Portuguesa RJ in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.