Championship · Mar 14, 2026 12:30
Coventry
PWR 45
Southampton
PWR 36
Coventry
PWR 45
4-2
predicted
Southampton
PWR 36
55%
23%
22%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Coventry Win
Score
4-2
Confidence
55%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (12%)1-0 (12%)2-1 (10%)1-1 (10%)3-0 (8%)3-1 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.39x
DC X2
Away/Draw
2.14x
Over 2.5
53%
Under 2.5
47%
BTTS
No 49%
Over 3.5
44%
Team Comparison
63Attack43
65Defense59
Goals/G
2.11.4
Conc/G
1.21.4
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Coventry
WWWWW
UP
Southampton
DWWLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy56%
FORM_MOMENTUMPOINTS_GAP
Full data available (Tier 1)H2H: 3/6 draws (50%) = VERY HIGH riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (26.7%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.05
Coventryvs
0.82
SouthamptonGoal Probability
Coventry
0
13%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4
10%
Southampton
0
44%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
2-1 (10%)2-0 (9%)1-1 (8%)1-0 (8%)3-1 (8%)3-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 97% | 3% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 85% | 15% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 66% | 34% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 44% | 56% | - |
| 4.5 | 25% | 75% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 13% | 87% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
Coventry+6
Gap#7
Southampton
WR 78% 77 pts
WR 32% 54 pts
Coventry
20.0%
| Mar 11 | Coventry v Preston | 3-0 |
| Mar 07 | Coventry v Bristol… | 0-2 |
| Feb 28 | Coventry v Stoke C… | 2-1 |
| Feb 25 | Coventry v Sheffie… | 1-2 |
| Feb 21 | Coventry v West Br… | 0-2 |
| Feb 16 | Coventry v Middles… | 3-1 |
| Feb 07 | Coventry v Oxford … | 0-0 |
| Jan 31 | Coventry v QPR | 2-1 |
| Jan 26 | Coventry v Norwich… | 2-1 |
| Jan 20 | Coventry v Millwall | 2-1 |
Southampton
14.0%
| Mar 11 | Southam… v West Br… | 1-1 |
| Mar 10 | Southam… v Scuntho… | 1-2 |
| Mar 08 | Southam… v Fulham | 0-1 |
| Mar 07 | Southam… v Morecam… | 0-5 |
| Mar 03 | Southam… v Hartlep… | 0-2 |
| Feb 28 | Southam… v FC Hali… | 2-2 |
| Feb 28 | Southam… v Sheffie… | 1-3 |
| Feb 28 | Southam… v Yeovil … | 1-1 |
| Feb 25 | Southam… v Yeovil … | 3-2 |
| Feb 24 | Southam… v QPR | 5-0 |
Head-to-Head (6)
| Dec 20, 2025 | Southampton | 1-1 | Coventry |
| Apr 09, 2024 | Southampton | 2-1 | Coventry |
| Apr 09, 2024 | Southampton | 2-1 | Coventry |
| Dec 13, 2023 | Coventry | 1-1 | Southampton |
| Dec 13, 2023 | Coventry | 1-1 | Southampton |
| Feb 05, 2022 | Southampton | 2-1 | Coventry |
Decision Breakdown
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
83%
Standings
72%
Market
56%
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Coventry in strong form (5W in last 5)
Southampton in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.