Eerste Divisie · Mar 14, 2026 15:30
De Graafschap
PWR 35
Dordrecht
PWR 35
De Graafschap
PWR 35
1-0
predicted
Dordrecht
PWR 35
47%
25%
28%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: De Graafschap to win (63% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
63%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (9%)2-1 (9%)1-2 (7%)2-2 (7%)3-1 (6%)1-0 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
67%
67%
Under 2.5
33%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 69%
Over 3.5
52%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
De Graafschap
LDWWW
STABLE
Dordrecht
WDDDW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Eerste Divisie
Expected Goals (xG)
2.00
De Graafschapvs
1.60
DordrechtGoal Probability
De Graafsch…
0
14%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
Dordrecht
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4
6%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (8%)1-2 (8%)2-1 (8%)2-2 (7%)1-3 (5%)3-1 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 98% | 2% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 89% | 11% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 73% | 27% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 52% | 48% | - |
| 4.5 | 33% | 67% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 18% | 82% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 9% | 91% | UNDER |
League Position
#4
De Graafsch…+5
Gap#9
Dordrecht
WR 47% 49 pts
WR 40% 42 pts
De Graafschap
14.0%
| Mar 08 | De Graa… v Vitesse | 1-4 |
| Feb 27 | De Graa… v MVV Maa… | 3-3 |
| Feb 20 | De Graa… v Utrecht | 1-0 |
| Feb 13 | De Graa… v Jong PSV | 1-2 |
| Feb 06 | De Graa… v Jong AZ | 4-0 |
| Jan 31 | De Graa… v Helmond… | 0-0 |
| Jan 26 | De Graa… v Den Bos… | 1-1 |
| Jan 23 | De Graa… v Waalwijk | 2-4 |
| Jan 18 | De Graa… v Almere … | 2-0 |
| Dec 20 | De Graa… v FC OSS | 2-3 |
Dordrecht
14.0%
| Mar 07 | Dordrec… v ACV | 4-3 |
| Mar 06 | Dordrec… v MVV Maa… | 1-1 |
| Feb 28 | Dordrec… v Almere … | 3-3 |
| Feb 27 | Dordrec… v Jong PSV | 1-1 |
| Feb 21 | Dordrec… v AFC Ams… | 2-0 |
| Feb 20 | Dordrec… v Jong AZ | 0-1 |
| Feb 14 | Dordrec… v GVVV Ve… | 1-2 |
| Feb 13 | Dordrec… v Emmen | 1-0 |
| Feb 09 | Dordrec… v Jong AZ | 1-2 |
| Feb 07 | Dordrec… v Kozakke… | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Sep 26, 2025 | Dordrecht | 1-1 | De Graafschap |
| May 17, 2025 | Dordrecht | 2-0 | De Graafschap |
| May 13, 2025 | De Graafschap | 0-0 | Dordrecht |
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player
40%
Momentum
65%
Standings
60%
Market
50%
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
De Graafschap in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.