First League · Mar 15, 2026 12:30

Cherno More Varna
PWR 35
2-0
predicted

Montana
PWR 35
55% 23% 22%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Cherno More Varna Win
Score
2-0
Confidence
55%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (51%)1-0 (24%)0-1 (10%)2-0 (6%)1-1 (5%)2-1 (1%)
All Markets
1X2 Suggested
H
Over 2.5
3%
Under 2.5 97%
97%
BTTS No
No 7%
Over 3.5
8%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Cherno More Va… WDLDD
STABLE
Montana LLDLL
DOWN
Stability Protocol
STANDARD · 2 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy56%
POSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)Home team draws 50% at home = very high riskHome team drew 3/5 recent gamesCombined DR 73% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (29.1%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.47
Cherno More Va…
vs
0.20
Montana
Goal Probability
Cherno More…
0
63%
1
29%
2
7%
3
1%
4
0%
Montana
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (27%)0-0 (20%)2-0 (18%)3-0 (8%)1-1 (7%)0-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 80% 20% OVER
1.5 47% 53% -
2.5 21% 79% UNDER
3.5 8% 92% UNDER
4.5 2% 98% UNDER
5.5 1% 99% UNDER
6.5 0% 100% UNDER
League Position
#5
Cherno More…
+11
Gap
#16
Montana
WR 33% 40 pts WR 8% 16 pts
Cherno More Va… 10.0%
Mar 07 Cherno … v Septemv… 0-3
Mar 04 Cherno … v Arda Ka… 0-0
Feb 28 Cherno … v Dobrudz… 2-1
Feb 20 Cherno … v Botev V… 0-0
Feb 15 Cherno … v Lokomot… 1-1
Feb 07 Cherno … v Spartak… 0-0
Jan 31 Cherno … v Etar Ve… 2-0
Jan 28 Cherno … v Lokomot… 0-1
Jan 23 Cherno … v Etar Ve… 0-6
Jan 14 Cherno … v Dobrudz… 0-1
Montana 2.0%
Mar 09 Montana v Ludogor… 0-3
Mar 03 Montana v Spartak… 1-0
Feb 27 Montana v Botev P… 0-0
Feb 21 Montana v Dobrudz… 1-0
Feb 16 Montana v Septemv… 1-0
Feb 06 Montana v CSKA 19… 0-1
Jan 29 Montana v Leningr… 0-0
Jan 26 Montana v Sepsi O… 1-0
Dec 14 Montana v Lokomot… 4-0
Dec 09 Montana v Botev V… 0-0
Head-to-Head (1)
Oct 04, 2025 Montana 1-3 Cherno More V…
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
74%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Montana struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.