Super Cup · Feb 16, 2026 13:15
Kauno Žalgiris
PWR 77
Panevėžys
PWR 23
Kauno Žalgiris
PWR 77
1 - 0
FT
Panevėžys
PWR 23
35%
27%
38%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
Under 2.5
Goals · Low scoring expected: 1.0 total goals avg
80%
accuracy
1.7x
Final Verdict
Prediction
Kauno Žalgiris Win
Score
2-0
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
3-1 (7%)3-0 (5%)2-1 (5%)3-2 (4%)2-0 (4%)2-2 (3%)
CORRECT 1-0
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
67%
67%
Under 2.5
33%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 72%
Over 3.5
34%
Team Comparison
35Attack0
100Defense65
Goals/G
1.00.0
Conc/G
0.01.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Kauno Žalgiris
DDWLL
STABLE
Panevėžys
WDWWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_LEAKING
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (26.3%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
4.17
Kauno Žalgirisvs
1.30
PanevėžysGoal Probability
Kauno Žalgi…
0
2%
1
6%
2
13%
3
19%
4
20%
Panevėžys
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4
3%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (14%)1-0 (12%)3-0 (11%)2-1 (9%)1-1 (8%)3-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 95% | 5% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 79% | 21% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 57% | 43% | - |
| 3.5 | 34% | 66% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 18% | 82% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
Kauno Žalgi…+1
Gap#2
Panevėžys
WR 100% 3 pts
WR 0% 0 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kauno Žalgiris | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| Panevėžys | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Kauno Žalgiris
8.0%
| Jan 30 | Kauno Ž… v Dynamo … | 0-0 |
| Nov 08 | Kauno Ž… v Banga | 0-0 |
| Nov 02 | Kauno Ž… v Panevėž… | 3-2 |
| Oct 27 | Kauno Ž… v Sūduva … | 1-0 |
| Oct 22 | Kauno Ž… v FK Zalg… | 1-2 |
| Oct 17 | Kauno Ž… v Šiauliai | 3-1 |
| Oct 04 | Kauno Ž… v Dainava | 0-1 |
| Oct 01 | Kauno Ž… v Hegelma… | 1-1 |
| Sep 24 | Kauno Ž… v Sūduva … | 1-1 |
| Sep 21 | Kauno Ž… v Džiugas… | 2-1 |
Panevėžys
14.0%
| Feb 07 | Panevėž… v Metta /… | 2-1 |
| Jan 31 | Panevėž… v Tukums | 0-0 |
| Nov 09 | Panevėž… v Kauno Ž… | 4-3 |
| Nov 08 | Panevėž… v FK Zalg… | 3-1 |
| Nov 02 | Panevėž… v Kauno Ž… | 3-2 |
| Oct 31 | Panevėž… v BFA | 2-0 |
| Oct 26 | Panevėž… v Džiugas… | 1-4 |
| Oct 24 | Panevėž… v Ekranas… | 0-2 |
| Oct 22 | Panevėž… v FK Trak… | 0-1 |
| Oct 18 | Panevėž… v Atmosfe… | 4-1 |
Head-to-Head (9)
| Nov 02, 2025 | Kauno Žalgiris | 3-2 | Panevėžys |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Panevėžys | 1-0 | Kauno Žalgiris |
| Jun 24, 2025 | Kauno Žalgiris | 3-0 | Panevėžys |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Panevėžys | 0-2 | Kauno Žalgiris |
| Jan 18, 2025 | Kauno Žalgiris | 2-0 | Panevėžys |
| Oct 05, 2024 | Kauno Žalgiris | 0-0 | Panevėžys |
| Jul 20, 2024 | Panevėžys | 1-2 | Kauno Žalgiris |
| May 25, 2024 | Panevėžys | 0-0 | Kauno Žalgiris |
| Apr 07, 2024 | Kauno Žalgiris | 0-1 | Panevėžys |
Decision Breakdown
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Panevėžys in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.