Ligue 1 · Mar 13, 2026 13:00
Lubumbashi Sport
PWR 35
PWR 35
0 - 1
FT
Tanganyika
PWR 35
PWR 35
49%
24%
27%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Lubumbashi Sport to win (58% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
58%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
0-1 (14%)1-1 (13%)0-0 (11%)1-0 (11%)0-2 (8%)1-2 (8%)
WRONG 0-1
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
37%
Under 2.5
63%
63%
BTTS
No 44%
Over 3.5
1%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Lubumbashi Spo…
WWLLD
STABLE
Tanganyika
LLWDD
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team draws 33% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 1/3 draws (33%) = HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.97
Lubumbashi Spo…vs
1.21
TanganyikaGoal Probability
Lubumbashi …
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
1%
Tanganyika
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (40%)0-1 (22%)1-0 (14%)1-1 (8%)0-2 (6%)2-0 (3%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 60% | 40% | - |
| 1.5 | 24% | 77% | UNDER |
| 2.5 | 7% | 93% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#6
Lubumbashi …+3
Gap#9
Tanganyika
WR 42% 34 pts
WR 36% 31 pts
Lubumbashi Spo…
10.0%
| Mar 07 | Lubumba… v Simba | 1-2 |
| Mar 04 | Lubumba… v Sanga B… | 2-1 |
| Mar 01 | Lubumba… v TP Maze… | 0-2 |
| Feb 25 | Lubumba… v Saint E… | 1-0 |
| Feb 07 | Lubumba… v Saint-l… | 0-0 |
| Feb 04 | Lubumba… v Tshinku… | 1-0 |
| Jan 29 | Lubumba… v Groupe … | 1-1 |
| Jan 26 | Lubumba… v Malole | 1-0 |
| Jan 18 | Lubumba… v Don Bos… | 0-0 |
| Jan 15 | Lubumba… v Blessing | 1-1 |
Tanganyika
8.0%
| Mar 04 | Tangany… v Don Bos… | 0-1 |
| Feb 22 | Tangany… v Saint E… | 2-1 |
| Feb 19 | Tangany… v Simba | 0-3 |
| Feb 04 | Tangany… v TP Maze… | 0-0 |
| Jan 29 | Tangany… v FC Tshi… | 0-0 |
| Jan 25 | Tangany… v CS Mani… | 0-0 |
| Jan 19 | Tangany… v Panda B5 | 3-0 |
| Jan 11 | Tangany… v CS Mani… | 2-1 |
| Jan 04 | Tangany… v Saint E… | 0-1 |
| Dec 26 | Tangany… v Saint-l… | 0-2 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Oct 24, 2025 | Tanganyika | 0-0 | Lubumbashi Sp… |
| Mar 23, 2025 | Lubumbashi Sp… | 2-0 | Tanganyika |
| Dec 04, 2024 | Tanganyika | 1-0 | Lubumbashi Sp… |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
56%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.