Primera DivisiĂłn · Mar 15, 2026 23:30

Ñublense
PWR 35

Deportes La Serena
PWR 35

Ñublense
PWR 35
1-1
predicted

Deportes La Serena
PWR 35
45%
25%
30%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (20%)2-0 (18%)0-0 (12%)3-0 (10%)1-1 (8%)2-1 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
35%
Under 2.5
65%
65%
BTTS
No
No 28%
Over 3.5
13%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Ñublense
WLWWD
STABLE
Deportes La Se…
LWWWD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateBoth teams low-scoring = 37.8% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 3/5 draws (60%) = VERY HIGH risk
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.72
Ñublensevs
0.41
Deportes La Se…Goal Probability
Ñublense
0
18%
1
31%
2
27%
3
15%
4
7%
Deportes La…
0
66%
1
27%
2
6%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (15%)0-0 (15%)1-1 (14%)0-1 (13%)2-0 (8%)2-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 86% | 15% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 58% | 43% | - |
| 2.5 | 30% | 70% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 13% | 87% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#14
Ñublense-5
Gap#9
Deportes La…
WR 0% 0 pts
WR 0% 0 pts
Ñublense
14.0%
| Mar 06 | Ñublense v Concepc… | 0-2 |
| Mar 01 | Ñublense v Univers… | 1-2 |
| Feb 20 | Ñublense v Union L… | 0-1 |
| Feb 15 | Ñublense v A. Ital… | 1-0 |
| Feb 08 | Ñublense v Deporte… | 1-1 |
| Feb 01 | Ñublense v Palesti… | 1-1 |
| Dec 07 | Ñublense v Cobresal | 5-0 |
| Dec 01 | Ñublense v A. Ital… | 1-0 |
| Nov 24 | Ñublense v Huachip… | 0-1 |
| Nov 08 | Ñublense v O'Higgi… | 4-2 |
Deportes La Se…
14.0%
| Mar 07 | Deporte… v Everton… | 1-0 |
| Mar 06 | Deporte… v Union L… | 3-0 |
| Feb 28 | Deporte… v Huachip… | 3-0 |
| Feb 27 | Deporte… v Cobresal | 0-1 |
| Feb 22 | Deporte… v Univers… | 2-2 |
| Feb 22 | Deporte… v Univers… | 1-1 |
| Feb 14 | Deporte… v O'Higgi… | 2-1 |
| Feb 14 | Deporte… v Coquimb… | 0-1 |
| Feb 08 | Deporte… v Ñublense | 1-1 |
| Feb 07 | Deporte… v O'Higgi… | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| Feb 08, 2026 | Ñublense | 1-1 | Deportes La S… |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Deportes La S… | 1-1 | Ñublense |
| Jul 25, 2025 | Deportes La S… | 0-1 | Ñublense |
| Apr 25, 2025 | Ñublense | 2-0 | Deportes La S… |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Ñublense | 1-1 | Deportes La S… |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
84%
Standings
40%
Market
50%
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Ñublense in strong form (3W in last 5)
Deportes La Serena in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.