Primera DivisiĂłn · Mar 15, 2026 23:30

Ñublense
PWR 35
1-1
predicted

Deportes La Serena
PWR 35
45% 25% 30%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (20%)2-0 (18%)0-0 (12%)3-0 (10%)1-1 (8%)2-1 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
35%
Under 2.5 65%
65%
BTTS No
No 28%
Over 3.5
13%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Ñublense WLWWD
STABLE
Deportes La Se… LWWWD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateBoth teams low-scoring = 37.8% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 3/5 draws (60%) = VERY HIGH risk
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.72
Ñublense
vs
0.41
Deportes La Se…
Goal Probability
Ñublense
0
18%
1
31%
2
27%
3
15%
4
7%
Deportes La…
0
66%
1
27%
2
6%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (15%)0-0 (15%)1-1 (14%)0-1 (13%)2-0 (8%)2-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 86% 15% OVER
1.5 58% 43% -
2.5 30% 70% UNDER
3.5 13% 87% UNDER
4.5 5% 95% UNDER
5.5 1% 99% UNDER
6.5 0% 100% UNDER
League Position
#14
Ñublense
-5
Gap
#9
Deportes La…
WR 0% 0 pts WR 0% 0 pts
Ñublense 14.0%
Mar 06 Ñublense v Concepc… 0-2
Mar 01 Ñublense v Univers… 1-2
Feb 20 Ñublense v Union L… 0-1
Feb 15 Ñublense v A. Ital… 1-0
Feb 08 Ñublense v Deporte… 1-1
Feb 01 Ñublense v Palesti… 1-1
Dec 07 Ñublense v Cobresal 5-0
Dec 01 Ñublense v A. Ital… 1-0
Nov 24 Ñublense v Huachip… 0-1
Nov 08 Ñublense v O'Higgi… 4-2
Deportes La Se… 14.0%
Mar 07 Deporte… v Everton… 1-0
Mar 06 Deporte… v Union L… 3-0
Feb 28 Deporte… v Huachip… 3-0
Feb 27 Deporte… v Cobresal 0-1
Feb 22 Deporte… v Univers… 2-2
Feb 22 Deporte… v Univers… 1-1
Feb 14 Deporte… v O'Higgi… 2-1
Feb 14 Deporte… v Coquimb… 0-1
Feb 08 Deporte… v Ñublense 1-1
Feb 07 Deporte… v O'Higgi… 1-0
Head-to-Head (5)
Feb 08, 2026 Ñublense 1-1 Deportes La S…
Oct 18, 2025 Deportes La S… 1-1 Ñublense
Jul 25, 2025 Deportes La S… 0-1 Ñublense
Apr 25, 2025 Ñublense 2-0 Deportes La S…
Feb 22, 2025 Ñublense 1-1 Deportes La S…
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
84%
Standings
40%
Market
50%
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Ñublense in strong form (3W in last 5)
Deportes La Serena in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.