Primera DivisiĂłn · Mar 14, 2026 23:00
Alianza Lima
PWR 35
Deportivo Garcilaso
PWR 35
PWR 35
2-2
predicted
Alianza Lima
PWR 35
29%
28%
43%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Alianza Lima Win
Score
2-2
Confidence
65%
TierPREMIUM
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (17%)0-0 (15%)1-1 (13%)0-1 (11%)2-0 (10%)2-1 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
29%
Under 2.5
71%
71%
BTTS
No 36%
Over 3.5
14%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Deportivo Garc…
LLLLW
DOWN
Alianza Lima
WWWDD
UP
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy77%
AWAY_FORM_MOMENTUMAWAY_FORM_DOMINANTAWAY_POSITION_GAPAWAY_TABLE_EXTREMES
Standings data available (Tier 2)Home team draws 33% at home = very high riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskCombined DR 67% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (28.6%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
1.16
Deportivo Garc…vs
0.74
Alianza LimaGoal Probability
Deportivo G…
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
Alianza Lima
0
48%
1
35%
2
13%
3
3%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
0-1 (20%)0-2 (15%)0-0 (14%)1-1 (11%)1-2 (8%)1-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 86% | 14% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 59% | 41% | - |
| 2.5 | 32% | 69% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 14% | 86% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#15
Deportivo G…-14
Gap#1
Alianza Lima
WR 33% 5 pts
WR 67% 16 pts
Deportivo Garc…
4.0%
| Mar 08 | Deporti… v Cusco | 1-0 |
| Mar 04 | Deporti… v Alianza… | 2-0 |
| Feb 28 | Deporti… v Ciencia… | 2-3 |
| Feb 23 | Deporti… v UCV Moq… | 1-0 |
| Feb 14 | Deporti… v ADT | 1-0 |
| Feb 09 | Deporti… v FC Caja… | 1-1 |
| Feb 01 | Deporti… v Sportin… | 1-1 |
| Nov 08 | Deporti… v Univers… | 0-0 |
| Nov 01 | Deporti… v ADT | 1-0 |
| Oct 25 | Deporti… v Ayacuch… | 4-2 |
Alianza Lima
16.0%
| Mar 10 | Alianza… v FBC Mel… | 3-1 |
| Feb 28 | Alianza… v UTC | 0-1 |
| Feb 21 | Alianza… v Sport B… | 1-0 |
| Feb 15 | Alianza… v Alianza… | 0-0 |
| Feb 12 | Alianza… v 2 de Ma… | 1-1 |
| Feb 08 | Alianza… v Comerci… | 2-1 |
| Feb 05 | Alianza… v 2 de Ma… | 1-0 |
| Jan 30 | Alianza… v Sport H… | 1-2 |
| Jan 24 | Alianza… v Inter M… | 3-0 |
| Jan 19 | Alianza… v Colo-Co… | 2-3 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Sep 14, 2025 | Alianza Lima | 3-4 | Deportivo Gar… |
| Jul 06, 2025 | Alianza Lima | 5-1 | Deportivo Gar… |
| Apr 15, 2025 | Deportivo Gar… | 0-1 | Alianza Lima |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Deportivo Gar… | 1-2 | Alianza Lima |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
65%
Standings
30%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Alianza Lima in strong form (3W in last 5)
Deportivo Garcilaso struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.