Liga MX · Mar 08, 2026 23:00
Toluca
PWR 35
FC Juarez
PWR 35
Toluca
PWR 35
3 - 1
FT
FC Juarez
PWR 35
59%
22%
19%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Toluca Win
Score
4-1
Confidence
77%
TierPREMIUM
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (17%)1-0 (16%)3-0 (12%)0-0 (8%)2-1 (8%)1-1 (7%)
CORRECT 3-1
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
45%
Under 2.5
55%
BTTS
No
No 31%
Over 3.5
48%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Toluca
WWWWD
UP
FC Juarez
WWLLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk25%
Accuracy77%
FORM_MOMENTUMFORM_DOMINANTHOME_STREAKPOSITION_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)H2H: 4/10 draws (40%) = VERY HIGH riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (25.0%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.12
Tolucavs
0.44
FC JuarezGoal Probability
Toluca
0
12%
1
25%
2
27%
3
19%
4
10%
FC Juarez
0
64%
1
28%
2
6%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (11%)3-0 (10%)2-1 (9%)3-1 (8%)1-0 (8%)4-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 97% | 3% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 87% | 13% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 70% | 30% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 49% | 52% | - |
| 4.5 | 29% | 71% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 16% | 84% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 7% | 93% | UNDER |
League Position
#2
Toluca+10
Gap#12
FC Juarez
WR 80% 24 pts
WR 40% 10 pts
Toluca
18.0%
| Mar 04 | Toluca v U.N.A.M… | 2-3 |
| Feb 28 | Toluca v Guadala… | 2-0 |
| Feb 22 | Toluca v Necaxa | 0-3 |
| Feb 14 | Toluca v Club Ti… | 1-0 |
| Feb 07 | Toluca v Cruz Az… | 1-1 |
| Jan 31 | Toluca v Puebla | 0-0 |
| Jan 18 | Toluca v Tigres … | 0-0 |
| Jan 15 | Toluca v Santos … | 3-1 |
| Jan 11 | Toluca v Monterr… | 0-1 |
| Dec 15 | Toluca v Tigres … | 2-1 |
FC Juarez
8.0%
| Mar 05 | FC Juar… v Club Am… | 1-2 |
| Feb 28 | FC Juar… v Atlas | 3-1 |
| Feb 15 | FC Juar… v Necaxa | 1-2 |
| Feb 08 | FC Juar… v Pachuca | 2-0 |
| Jan 31 | FC Juar… v Cruz Az… | 3-4 |
| Jan 18 | FC Juar… v Santos … | 2-2 |
| Jan 14 | FC Juar… v Guadala… | 0-1 |
| Jan 10 | FC Juar… v Mazatlá… | 1-2 |
| Nov 30 | FC Juar… v Toluca | 0-0 |
| Nov 27 | FC Juar… v Toluca | 1-2 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Nov 30, 2025 | Toluca | 0-0 | FC Juarez |
| Nov 27, 2025 | FC Juarez | 1-2 | Toluca |
| Aug 12, 2025 | FC Juarez | 0-2 | Toluca |
| Feb 22, 2025 | FC Juarez | 0-4 | Toluca |
| Jul 14, 2024 | Toluca | 3-2 | FC Juarez |
| Mar 09, 2024 | FC Juarez | 1-1 | Toluca |
| Jul 16, 2023 | Toluca | 2-4 | FC Juarez |
| Apr 23, 2023 | Toluca | 1-1 | FC Juarez |
| Oct 09, 2022 | Toluca | 3-0 | FC Juarez |
| Jul 30, 2022 | FC Juarez | 1-1 | Toluca |
Decision Breakdown
S70+DR<22 (82.1%)S75+DR<25 (81.8%)M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%)HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%)M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%)GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)CS65+DR<30 (68.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
89%
Standings
85%
Market
50%
Key Factors
Toluca in strong form (4W in last 5)
FC Juarez struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.