League One · Mar 14, 2026 15:00
Northampton Town FC
PWR 31
Brighton & Hove Albion
PWR 36
Northampton Town FC
PWR 31
1-1
predicted
Brighton & Hove Albion
PWR 36
39%
26%
35%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (53% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
53%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (16%)2-0 (15%)1-1 (10%)0-0 (9%)2-1 (9%)3-0 (9%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
42%
Under 2.5
58%
BTTS
No 38%
Over 3.5
15%
Team Comparison
27Attack43
61Defense60
Goals/G
0.91.4
Conc/G
1.31.3
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Northampton To…
LLDLL
DOWN
Brighton & Hov…
LLDWL
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): League One
Expected Goals (xG)
1.80
Northampton To…vs
0.60
Brighton & Hov…Goal Probability
Northampton…
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4
7%
Brighton & …
0
55%
1
33%
2
10%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (14%)0-1 (13%)1-0 (13%)0-0 (13%)0-2 (7%)1-2 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 87% | 13% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 61% | 39% | - |
| 2.5 | 34% | 66% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 15% | 85% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#14
Northampton…-6
Gap#8
Brighton & …
WR 26% 113 pts
WR 30% 143 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Northampton T… | 111 | 29 | 26 | 56 | 109 | 160 | 113 |
| Brighton & Ho… | 125 | 37 | 32 | 56 | 136 | 170 | 143 |
Northampton To…
2.0%
| Mar 08 | Northam… v AFC Wim… | 1-0 |
| Mar 04 | Northam… v Bolton | 2-1 |
| Feb 28 | Northam… v Peterbo… | 1-1 |
| Feb 24 | Northam… v Port Va… | 0-1 |
| Feb 21 | Northam… v Leyton … | 1-2 |
| Feb 17 | Northam… v Lincoln | 4-0 |
| Feb 14 | Northam… v Exeter … | 0-0 |
| Feb 10 | Northam… v AFC Wim… | 1-2 |
| Feb 07 | Northam… v Stevena… | 3-1 |
| Feb 03 | Northam… v Burnley | 2-2 |
Brighton & Hov…
6.0%
| Mar 07 | Brighto… v Stevena… | 0-1 |
| Mar 04 | Brighto… v Arsenal | 0-1 |
| Mar 03 | Brighto… v Exeter … | 1-1 |
| Mar 01 | Brighto… v Notting… | 2-1 |
| Feb 28 | Brighto… v Wycombe | 3-0 |
| Feb 24 | Brighto… v Stockpo… | 3-0 |
| Feb 21 | Brighto… v Bolton | 1-1 |
| Feb 21 | Brighto… v Brentfo… | 0-2 |
| Feb 17 | Brighto… v Rotherh… | 1-0 |
| Feb 14 | Brighto… v Liverpo… | 3-0 |
Head-to-Head (8)
| Dec 26, 2025 | Brighton & Ho… | 5-1 | Northampton T… |
| Jan 04, 2025 | Brighton & Ho… | 0-1 | Northampton T… |
| Nov 12, 2024 | Northampton T… | 2-5 | Brighton & Ho… |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Northampton T… | 0-0 | Brighton & Ho… |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Brighton & Ho… | 0-2 | Northampton T… |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Northampton T… | 2-0 | Brighton & Ho… |
| Feb 13, 2021 | Northampton T… | 0-2 | Brighton & Ho… |
| Nov 21, 2020 | Brighton & Ho… | 1-3 | Northampton T… |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
83%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (47%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Northampton Town FC struggling (4L in last 5)
Brighton & Hove Albion struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.