National Soccer League · Mar 14, 2026 13:00
Etincelles
PWR 35
Rutsiro
PWR 35
PWR 35
1-0
predicted
Etincelles
PWR 35
37%
27%
36%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Rutsiro to win (60% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
60%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (18%)1-0 (17%)3-0 (13%)0-0 (8%)2-1 (7%)1-1 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
45%
Under 2.5
55%
BTTS
No
No 30%
Over 3.5
11%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Rutsiro
DWDLL
STABLE
Etincelles
DDDWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk37%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 1% = 35.1% draw rateHome team draws 33% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateAway team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesAway draws 50% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 83% = 50.7% draw rate
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.1
Expected Goals (xG)
2.15
Rutsirovs
0.41
EtincellesGoal Probability
Rutsiro
0
12%
1
25%
2
27%
3
19%
4
10%
Etincelles
0
66%
1
27%
2
6%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (18%)0-0 (16%)1-1 (13%)0-1 (12%)2-0 (10%)2-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 84% | 16% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 55% | 45% | - |
| 2.5 | 28% | 72% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#17
Rutsiro-1
Gap#16
Etincelles
WR 11% 19 pts
WR 10% 20 pts
Rutsiro
8.0%
| Mar 07 | Rutsiro v Gasogi … | 0-0 |
| Feb 28 | Rutsiro v Marines | 5-3 |
| Feb 25 | Rutsiro v Police | 0-0 |
| Feb 21 | Rutsiro v Muhanga | 2-1 |
| Feb 06 | Rutsiro v Gorilla | 2-1 |
| Jan 09 | Rutsiro v AS Kiga… | 0-0 |
| Jan 04 | Rutsiro v Mukura | 1-2 |
| Dec 26 | Rutsiro v Gicumbi | 2-4 |
| Dec 21 | Rutsiro v Kiyovu … | 1-0 |
| Dec 15 | Rutsiro v Al Hila… | 1-2 |
Etincelles
14.0%
| Mar 08 | Etincel… v Kiyovu … | 1-1 |
| Mar 01 | Etincel… v AS Kiga… | 0-0 |
| Feb 21 | Etincel… v Gicumbi | 1-1 |
| Feb 15 | Etincel… v Muhanga | 2-1 |
| Feb 07 | Etincel… v Musanze | 1-0 |
| Jan 31 | Etincel… v Mukura | 1-0 |
| Jan 11 | Etincel… v Bugesera | 1-2 |
| Jan 08 | Etincel… v Al Hila… | 2-0 |
| Jan 03 | Etincel… v AS Kiga… | 0-1 |
| Dec 27 | Etincel… v Kiyovu … | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Nov 08, 2025 | Etincelles | 0-0 | Rutsiro |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
90%
Standings
48%
Market
50%
High draw risk (47%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.