Premier League · Mar 14, 2026 15:00
Burnley
PWR 25
Bournemouth
PWR 34
Burnley
PWR 25
1-2
predicted
Bournemouth
PWR 34
43%
25%
32%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Bournemouth Win
Score
1-2
Confidence
42%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
0-1 (14%)1-1 (13%)0-0 (12%)1-0 (11%)0-2 (9%)1-2 (8%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
36%
Under 2.5
64%
64%
BTTS
No 42%
Over 3.5
28%
Team Comparison
31Attack50
41Defense46
Goals/G
1.01.7
Conc/G
2.01.8
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Burnley
DDWLD
STABLE
Bournemouth
DDDWD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk33%
Accuracy56%
AWAY_POSITION_GAPAWAY_POINTS_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)Away team drew 4/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskHome team drew 3/5 recent gamesAway draws 43% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 71% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (33.2%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
0.92
Burnleyvs
1.21
BournemouthGoal Probability
Burnley
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
5%
4
1%
Bournemouth
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (12%)0-1 (10%)1-2 (9%)1-0 (8%)0-2 (8%)2-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 93% | 7% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 74% | 26% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 50% | 50% | - |
| 3.5 | 28% | 72% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 13% | 87% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#19
Burnley-10
Gap#9
Bournemouth
WR 14% 19 pts
WR 21% 40 pts
Burnley
10.0%
| Mar 10 | Burnley v Cardiff | 1-1 |
| Mar 07 | Burnley v Grimsby | 1-1 |
| Mar 07 | Burnley v Exeter … | 2-1 |
| Mar 03 | Burnley v Everton | 2-0 |
| Mar 03 | Burnley v Oldham | 0-0 |
| Mar 03 | Burnley v Wycombe | 0-1 |
| Feb 28 | Burnley v Leyton … | 1-3 |
| Feb 28 | Burnley v Accring… | 2-1 |
| Feb 28 | Burnley v Brentfo… | 3-4 |
| Feb 21 | Burnley v Hudders… | 2-1 |
Bournemouth
12.0%
| Mar 03 | Bournem… v Brentfo… | 0-0 |
| Feb 28 | Bournem… v Sunderl… | 1-1 |
| Feb 21 | Bournem… v West Br… | 0-0 |
| Feb 10 | Bournem… v Everton | 1-2 |
| Feb 07 | Bournem… v Aston V… | 1-1 |
| Jan 31 | Bournem… v Wolverh… | 0-2 |
| Jan 24 | Bournem… v Liverpo… | 3-2 |
| Jan 19 | Bournem… v Brighto… | 1-1 |
| Jan 10 | Bournem… v Newcast… | 2-2 |
| Jan 07 | Bournem… v Tottenh… | 3-2 |
Head-to-Head (6)
| Dec 20, 2025 | Bournemouth | 1-1 | Burnley |
| Mar 03, 2024 | Burnley | 0-2 | Bournemouth |
| Mar 03, 2024 | Burnley | 0-2 | Bournemouth |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Bournemouth | 2-1 | Burnley |
| Jan 07, 2023 | Bournemouth | 2-4 | Burnley |
| Feb 09, 2021 | Burnley | 0-2 | Bournemouth |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
30%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.