Victoria NPL · Mar 07, 2026 08:00
Melbourne City
PWR 65
Bentleigh Greens
PWR 35
Melbourne City
PWR 65
1 - 0
FT
Bentleigh Greens
PWR 35
47%
25%
28%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Melbourne City Win
Score
3-1
Confidence
68%
TierGOLD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (15%)1-1 (12%)2-0 (11%)0-0 (10%)2-1 (9%)0-1 (8%)
CORRECT 1-0
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.35x
DC X2
Away/Draw
2.27x
Over 2.5
39%
Under 2.5
61%
61%
BTTS
No 43%
Over 3.5
10%
Team Comparison
64Attack0
67Defense100
Goals/G
1.80.0
Conc/G
0.90.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Melbourne City
DWLLD
STABLE
Bentleigh Greeā¦
LWDLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk30%
Accuracy73%
POSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAPTABLE_EXTREMES
Full data available (Tier 1)H2H: 2/6 draws (33%) = HIGH riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (30.0%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.48
Melbourne Cityvs
0.80
Bentleigh Greeā¦Goal Probability
Melbourne Cā¦
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
5%
Bentleigh Gā¦
0
45%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (22%)0-0 (18%)2-0 (14%)1-1 (11%)0-1 (9%)2-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 82% | 18% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 51% | 49% | - |
| 2.5 | 25% | 75% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
Melbourne Cā¦+11
Gap#12
Bentleigh Gā¦
WR 65% 67 pts
WR 13% 14 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melbourne City | 31 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 57 | 29 | 67 |
| Bentleigh Greā¦ | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | 42 | 14 |
Melbourne City
8.0%
| Mar 03 | Melbourā¦ v Buriramā¦ | 1-1 |
| Feb 28 | Melbourā¦ v Altona ā¦ | 1-2 |
| Feb 28 | Melbourā¦ v Auckland | 3-0 |
| Feb 21 | Melbourā¦ v Melbourā¦ | 1-3 |
| Feb 21 | Melbourā¦ v Aucklanā¦ | 1-1 |
| Feb 19 | Melbourā¦ v Hume Ciā¦ | 1-2 |
| Feb 18 | Melbourā¦ v Gangwonā¦ | 0-0 |
| Feb 14 | Melbourā¦ v Avondale | 0-2 |
| Feb 11 | Melbourā¦ v Ulsan Hā¦ | 1-2 |
| Feb 08 | Melbourā¦ v Vanuatuā¦ | 5-2 |
Bentleigh Greeā¦
6.0%
| Feb 28 | Bentleiā¦ v Hume Ciā¦ | 1-0 |
| Feb 20 | Bentleiā¦ v Avondale | 2-0 |
| Feb 14 | Bentleiā¦ v Sunshinā¦ | 0-0 |
| Aug 19 | Bentleiā¦ v Avondale | 2-1 |
| Aug 12 | Bentleiā¦ v Altona ā¦ | 1-0 |
| Jul 29 | Bentleiā¦ v Melbourā¦ | 2-2 |
| Jul 22 | Bentleiā¦ v Hume Ciā¦ | 0-2 |
| Jul 15 | Bentleiā¦ v Melbourā¦ | 0-2 |
| May 12 | Bentleiā¦ v Avondale | 0-4 |
| Apr 22 | Bentleiā¦ v Hume Ciā¦ | 2-3 |
Head-to-Head (6)
| Jul 29, 2023 | Bentleigh Greā¦ | 2-2 | Melbourne City |
| Jul 15, 2023 | Bentleigh Greā¦ | 0-2 | Melbourne City |
| Apr 15, 2023 | Melbourne City | 1-0 | Bentleigh Greā¦ |
| May 28, 2022 | Melbourne City | 3-2 | Bentleigh Greā¦ |
| Feb 25, 2022 | Bentleigh Greā¦ | 2-3 | Melbourne City |
| May 22, 2021 | Melbourne City | 1-1 | Bentleigh Greā¦ |
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
70%
Standings
50%
Market
58%
High draw risk (52%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Bentleigh Greens struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.