Rondoniense · Mar 09, 2026 23:30
Paranoá
PWR 49
Jaguaré
PWR 63
PWR 63
1 - 1
FT
Paranoá
PWR 49
39%
26%
35%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Jaguaré Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (8%)3-1 (8%)2-0 (7%)2-1 (6%)3-2 (4%)1-0 (4%)
WRONG 1-1
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
67%
67%
Under 2.5
33%
BTTS
Yes 59%
Over 3.5
44%
Team Comparison
49Attack37
79Defense72
Goals/G
1.41.1
Conc/G
0.60.8
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Jaguaré
LLWDW
DOWN
Paranoá
WDWLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateH2H: 3/8 draws (38%) = HIGH riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (29.4%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
3.74
Jaguarévs
0.93
ParanoáGoal Probability
Jaguaré
0
2%
1
9%
2
17%
3
21%
4
19%
Paranoá
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
5%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (10%)2-1 (9%)1-2 (8%)2-2 (7%)1-0 (6%)2-0 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 97% | 3% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 85% | 15% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 66% | 34% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 44% | 56% | - |
| 4.5 | 25% | 75% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 13% | 87% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
League Position
#2
Jaguaré+1
Gap#3
Paranoá
WR 61% 64 pts
WR 36% 61 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaguaré | 31 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 43 | 19 | 64 |
| Paranoá | 44 | 16 | 13 | 15 | 47 | 35 | 61 |
Jaguaré
10.0%
| Mar 06 | Jaguaré v Juventu… | 5-0 |
| Mar 01 | Jaguaré v Porto V… | 2-0 |
| Feb 22 | Jaguaré v Genus | 3-1 |
| Feb 19 | Jaguaré v Galvez | 1-1 |
| Feb 14 | Jaguaré v União C… | 0-2 |
| Feb 11 | Jaguaré v Barcelo… | 3-0 |
| Feb 08 | Jaguaré v Rondoni… | 0-1 |
| Feb 04 | Jaguaré v Porto V… | 2-2 |
| Jan 31 | Jaguaré v Barcelo… | 0-2 |
| Jan 31 | Jaguaré v Maguary… | 1-2 |
Paranoá
14.0%
| Mar 08 | Paranoá v Laranja… | 0-3 |
| Mar 05 | Paranoá v Porto V… | 0-0 |
| Mar 01 | Paranoá v União C… | 9-0 |
| Feb 28 | Paranoá v Samamba… | 0-6 |
| Feb 27 | Paranoá v Petrópo… | 1-0 |
| Feb 25 | Paranoá v Ypirang… | 2-0 |
| Feb 22 | Paranoá v Barcelo… | 2-0 |
| Feb 21 | Paranoá v Uberlân… | 4-1 |
| Feb 18 | Paranoá v Portugu… | 2-0 |
| Feb 12 | Paranoá v Rondoni… | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (8)
| Jan 18, 2026 | Paranoá | 2-0 | Jaguaré |
| Apr 10, 2025 | Jaguaré | 2-1 | Paranoá |
| Apr 06, 2025 | Paranoá | 0-0 | Jaguaré |
| Mar 02, 2025 | Jaguaré | 1-0 | Paranoá |
| Feb 02, 2025 | Paranoá | 1-3 | Jaguaré |
| Mar 05, 2023 | Jaguaré | 0-0 | Paranoá |
| May 06, 2021 | Paranoá | 0-1 | Jaguaré |
| Apr 25, 2021 | Jaguaré | 1-1 | Paranoá |
Decision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Paranoá in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.