Ligue 1 · Mar 17, 2026 14:00
USM Alger
PWR 47
ES SĂ©tif
PWR 35
USM Alger
PWR 47
1-1
predicted
ES SĂ©tif
PWR 35
39%
26%
35%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (21%)1-0 (18%)3-0 (17%)0-0 (7%)2-1 (4%)1-1 (4%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
45%
Under 2.5
55%
BTTS
No
No 16%
Over 3.5
14%
Team Comparison
37Attack0
73Defense100
Goals/G
1.10.0
Conc/G
0.80.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
USM Alger
DDLDD
STABLE
ES SĂ©tif
LWWLD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityWR diff only 5% = 35.1% draw rateHome team drew 4/5 recent gamesElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.40
USM Algervs
0.20
ES SĂ©tifGoal Probability
USM Alger
0
9%
1
22%
2
26%
3
21%
4
13%
ES SĂ©tif
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (17%)0-0 (14%)1-1 (13%)0-1 (11%)2-0 (10%)2-1 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 86% | 14% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 58% | 42% | - |
| 2.5 | 31% | 69% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 14% | 86% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 2% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#10
USM Alger+1
Gap#11
ES SĂ©tif
WR 22% 26 pts
WR 9% 26 pts
USM Alger
8.0%
| Mar 08 | USM Alg… v CS Cons… | 0-0 |
| Feb 27 | USM Alg… v El Baya… | 0-0 |
| Feb 21 | USM Alg… v JS Saou… | 1-2 |
| Jan 08 | USM Alg… v MC Oran | 1-1 |
| Dec 27 | USM Alg… v Oued Ak… | 1-1 |
| Dec 22 | USM Alg… v MB Roui… | 2-0 |
| Dec 18 | USM Alg… v Ben Akn… | 2-2 |
| Dec 08 | USM Alg… v JS Kaby… | 1-2 |
| Nov 17 | USM Alg… v Mostaga… | 2-2 |
| Nov 08 | USM Alg… v CR Belo… | 0-0 |
ES SĂ©tif
10.0%
| Mar 06 | ES Sétif v ASO Chl… | 1-0 |
| Feb 28 | ES Sétif v Mostaga… | 3-0 |
| Feb 20 | ES Sétif v MB Roui… | 2-1 |
| Feb 13 | ES Sétif v CS Cons… | 2-0 |
| Feb 08 | ES Sétif v El Baya… | 0-0 |
| Feb 04 | ES Sétif v JS Saou… | 1-0 |
| Jan 23 | ES Sétif v Khenche… | 4-1 |
| Jan 16 | ES Sétif v CS Cons… | 2-1 |
| Jan 08 | ES Sétif v Paradou… | 2-2 |
| Dec 29 | ES SĂ©tif v MC Alger | 2-0 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Oct 29, 2025 | ES SĂ©tif | 1-3 | USM Alger |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
55%
Market
50%
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.