First Division · Mar 07, 2026 19:30
Longford Town
PWR 35
UCD
PWR 35
Longford Town
PWR 35
0 - 0
FT
UCD
PWR 35
43%
25%
32%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
3-2 (5%)3-1 (4%)3-3 (4%)2-2 (3%)2-1 (3%)2-3 (2%)
WRONG 0-0
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.77x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.54x
Over 2.5
66%
66%
Under 2.5
34%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 89%
Over 3.5
48%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Longford Town
DLDLW
STABLE
UCD
WLWLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateHome team draws 50% at home = very high riskBoth teams low-scoring = 37.8% draw rateHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesCombined DR 75% = 50.7% draw rate
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.1
Expected Goals (xG)
4.41
Longford Townvs
2.28
UCDGoal Probability
Longford To…
0
1%
1
5%
2
12%
3
17%
4
19%
UCD
0
10%
1
23%
2
27%
3
20%
4
12%
CORRECT SCORES
2-1 (9%)1-1 (8%)3-1 (7%)2-0 (7%)2-2 (6%)1-0 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 97% | 3% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 87% | 13% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 70% | 31% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 48% | 52% | - |
| 4.5 | 29% | 71% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 16% | 85% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 7% | 93% | UNDER |
League Position
#8
Longford To…-6
Gap#2
UCD
WR 0% 3 pts
WR 0% 7 pts
Longford Town
8.0%
| Feb 27 | Longfor… v Kerry FC | 1-1 |
| Feb 21 | Longfor… v Cobh Ra… | 1-2 |
| Feb 13 | Longfor… v Bray Wa… | 1-1 |
| Jan 16 | Longfor… v Bohemia… | 2-1 |
| Oct 17 | Longfor… v Athlone… | 1-2 |
| Oct 10 | Longfor… v Cobh Ra… | 3-1 |
| Oct 05 | Longfor… v Treaty … | 1-2 |
| Sep 26 | Longfor… v Bray Wa… | 0-2 |
| Sep 20 | Longfor… v Dundalk | 3-2 |
| Sep 12 | Longfor… v UCD | 2-1 |
UCD
8.0%
| Feb 27 | UCD v Treaty … | 2-0 |
| Feb 20 | UCD v Finn Ha… | 2-1 |
| Feb 13 | UCD v Kerry FC | 2-1 |
| Oct 28 | UCD v Bray Wa… | 3-2 |
| Oct 24 | UCD v Bray Wa… | 0-1 |
| Oct 17 | UCD v Finn Ha… | 3-4 |
| Oct 10 | UCD v Athlone… | 2-2 |
| Oct 05 | UCD v Wexford | 0-3 |
| Sep 26 | UCD v Dundalk | 3-2 |
| Sep 19 | UCD v Kerry FC | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Sep 12, 2025 | UCD | 2-1 | Longford Town |
| Jun 28, 2025 | Longford Town | 0-2 | UCD |
| May 09, 2025 | UCD | 1-1 | Longford Town |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Longford Town | 0-1 | UCD |
| Oct 18, 2024 | UCD | 2-2 | Longford Town |
| Jul 27, 2024 | Longford Town | 1-2 | UCD |
| May 03, 2024 | UCD | 1-0 | Longford Town |
| Mar 29, 2024 | Longford Town | 1-2 | UCD |
| Aug 27, 2021 | UCD | 2-1 | Longford Town |
| Oct 31, 2020 | UCD | 2-3 | Longford Town |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
38%
Market
37%
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
UCD struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.