First Division · Mar 06, 2026 19:45
Treaty United
PWR 35
Treaty United
PWR 35
2 - 2
FT
Kerry FC
PWR 35
PWR 35
43%
25%
32%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (42% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
42%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (19%)2-0 (17%)0-0 (11%)3-0 (10%)1-1 (9%)2-1 (8%)
WRONG 2-2
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.48x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.82x
Over 2.5
38%
Under 2.5
62%
62%
BTTS
No
No 31%
Over 3.5
16%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Treaty United
LLLWL
DOWN
Kerry FC
DWLLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk33%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateHome team draws 50% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 4/10 draws (40%) = VERY HIGH riskCombined DR 75% = 50.7% draw rate
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.78
Treaty Unitedvs
0.47
Kerry FCGoal Probability
Treaty Unit…
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4
7%
Kerry FC
0
63%
1
29%
2
7%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (14%)1-1 (14%)0-0 (13%)0-1 (13%)2-0 (7%)2-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 88% | 13% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 62% | 39% | - |
| 2.5 | 35% | 66% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 16% | 84% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#10
Treaty Unit…-1
Gap#9
Kerry FC
WR 0% 1 pts
WR 0% 2 pts
Treaty United
4.0%
| Feb 27 | Treaty … v UCD | 2-0 |
| Feb 20 | Treaty … v Bray Wa… | 0-1 |
| Feb 13 | Treaty … v Cork Ci… | 1-0 |
| Jan 13 | Treaty … v Kerry FC | 2-4 |
| Jan 09 | Treaty … v Galway … | 2-0 |
| Nov 02 | Treaty … v Bray Wa… | 1-0 |
| Oct 28 | Treaty … v Cobh Ra… | 1-1 |
| Oct 24 | Treaty … v Cobh Ra… | 1-0 |
| Oct 17 | Treaty … v Wexford | 0-2 |
| Oct 10 | Treaty … v Bray Wa… | 2-1 |
Kerry FC
6.0%
| Feb 27 | Kerry FC v Longfor… | 1-1 |
| Feb 27 | Kerry FC v Wexford | 4-2 |
| Feb 20 | Kerry FC v Athlone… | 0-1 |
| Feb 20 | Kerry FC v Bohemia… | 0-1 |
| Feb 13 | Kerry FC v UCD | 2-1 |
| Feb 13 | Kerry FC v Dundalk | 2-2 |
| Feb 06 | Kerry FC v Sligo R… | 2-1 |
| Feb 04 | Kerry FC v Cork Ci… | 4-1 |
| Jan 31 | Kerry FC v Shamroc… | 0-1 |
| Jan 23 | Kerry FC v Polessya | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Jan 13, 2026 | Kerry FC | 2-4 | Treaty United |
| Sep 26, 2025 | Kerry FC | 1-1 | Treaty United |
| Aug 04, 2025 | Treaty United | 1-1 | Kerry FC |
| Jul 18, 2025 | Treaty United | 1-5 | Kerry FC |
| May 09, 2025 | Kerry FC | 1-0 | Treaty United |
| Apr 04, 2025 | Treaty United | 3-0 | Kerry FC |
| Sep 06, 2024 | Treaty United | 1-1 | Kerry FC |
| Jun 03, 2024 | Kerry FC | 2-1 | Treaty United |
| Apr 12, 2024 | Treaty United | 0-0 | Kerry FC |
| Mar 01, 2024 | Kerry FC | 0-1 | Treaty United |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
84%
Standings
48%
Market
47%
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Treaty United struggling (4L in last 5)
Kerry FC struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.