Ligue 1 · Mar 15, 2026 14:00
Strasbourg
PWR 39
Paris FC
PWR 31
Strasbourg
PWR 39
3-1
predicted
Paris FC
PWR 31
51%
24%
25%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Strasbourg Win
Score
3-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (17%)2-0 (14%)1-1 (11%)0-0 (11%)2-1 (9%)3-0 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
38%
Under 2.5
62%
62%
BTTS
No 37%
Over 3.5
30%
Team Comparison
50Attack39
63Defense49
Goals/G
1.71.3
Conc/G
1.31.7
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Strasbourg
DWDWD
STABLE
Paris FC
DWDLD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Away team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskHome team drew 3/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (28.9%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.61
Strasbourgvs
0.63
Paris FCGoal Probability
Strasbourg
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4
6%
Paris FC
0
53%
1
34%
2
11%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (14%)1-0 (13%)3-0 (10%)2-1 (9%)1-1 (9%)3-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 94% | 6% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 76% | 24% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 52% | 48% | - |
| 3.5 | 30% | 70% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 15% | 85% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#8
Strasbourg+5
Gap#13
Paris FC
WR 58% 36 pts
WR 23% 27 pts
Strasbourg
14.0%
| Mar 07 | Strasbo… v Auxerre | 0-0 |
| Mar 03 | Strasbo… v Reims | 2-1 |
| Feb 27 | Strasbo… v Lens | 1-1 |
| Feb 22 | Strasbo… v Lyon | 3-1 |
| Feb 14 | Strasbo… v Olympiq… | 2-2 |
| Feb 08 | Strasbo… v LE Havr… | 2-1 |
| Feb 05 | Strasbo… v AS Mona… | 3-1 |
| Feb 01 | Strasbo… v Paris S… | 1-2 |
| Jan 25 | Strasbo… v Lille | 1-4 |
| Jan 18 | Strasbo… v Metz | 2-1 |
Paris FC
10.0%
| Mar 08 | Paris FC v Lyon | 1-1 |
| Mar 01 | Paris FC v Nice | 1-0 |
| Feb 21 | Paris FC v Toulouse | 1-1 |
| Feb 14 | Paris FC v Lens | 0-5 |
| Feb 08 | Paris FC v Auxerre | 0-0 |
| Feb 04 | Paris FC v Lorient | 2-0 |
| Jan 31 | Paris FC v Olympiq… | 2-2 |
| Jan 25 | Paris FC v Angers | 0-0 |
| Jan 18 | Paris FC v Nantes | 1-2 |
| Jan 12 | Paris FC v Paris S… | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Sep 21, 2025 | Paris FC | 2-3 | Strasbourg |
| May 03, 2025 | Strasbourg | 2-1 | Paris FC |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Paris FC | 4-2 | Strasbourg |
| Feb 02, 2024 | Strasbourg | 1-2 | Paris FC |
Decision Breakdown
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
80%
Standings
70%
Market
50%
High draw risk (50%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.