Ligue 1 · Mar 13, 2026 19:45
Olympique de Marseille
PWR 48
Auxerre
PWR 27
Olympique de Marseille
PWR 48
5-1
predicted
Auxerre
PWR 27
49%
24%
27%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
1X (Home/Draw)
Double Chance · Odds imply 65% home + 20% draw = 86% combined
92%
accuracy
1.22x
Final Verdict
Prediction
Olympique de Marseille Win
Score
5-1
Confidence
68%
TierGOLD
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (9%)2-0 (9%)3-1 (8%)2-1 (8%)1-0 (6%)1-1 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
86%
Home/Draw
1.22x
DC X2
Away/Draw
3.02x
Over 2.5
67%
67%
Under 2.5
33%
BTTS
Yes 57%
Over 3.5
26%
Team Comparison
69Attack21
67Defense57
Goals/G
2.30.7
Conc/G
1.11.5
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Olympique de M…
WDWLD
STABLE
Auxerre
DDLWD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy73%
POSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAPTABLE_EXTREMES
Full data available (Tier 1)Away team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (29.2%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
3.02
Olympique de M…vs
0.91
AuxerreGoal Probability
Olympique d…
0
5%
1
15%
2
22%
3
22%
4
17%
Auxerre
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
5%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (13%)2-0 (12%)1-1 (11%)2-1 (10%)0-0 (7%)3-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 93% | 7% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 73% | 27% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 48% | 52% | - |
| 3.5 | 26% | 74% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 12% | 88% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#3
Olympique d…+13
Gap#16
Auxerre
WR 67% 46 pts
WR 8% 19 pts
Olympique de M…
12.0%
| Mar 07 | Olympiq… v Toulouse | 0-1 |
| Mar 04 | Olympiq… v Toulouse | 2-2 |
| Mar 01 | Olympiq… v Lyon | 3-2 |
| Feb 20 | Olympiq… v Stade B… | 2-0 |
| Feb 14 | Olympiq… v Strasbo… | 2-2 |
| Feb 08 | Olympiq… v Paris S… | 5-0 |
| Feb 03 | Olympiq… v Rennes … | 3-0 |
| Jan 31 | Olympiq… v Paris FC | 2-2 |
| Jan 28 | Olympiq… v Club Br… | 3-0 |
| Jan 24 | Olympiq… v Lens | 3-1 |
Auxerre
10.0%
| Mar 07 | Auxerre v Strasbo… | 0-0 |
| Mar 01 | Auxerre v Lorient | 2-2 |
| Feb 22 | Auxerre v Rennes … | 0-3 |
| Feb 15 | Auxerre v Metz | 1-3 |
| Feb 08 | Auxerre v Paris FC | 0-0 |
| Feb 01 | Auxerre v Toulouse | 0-0 |
| Jan 23 | Auxerre v Paris S… | 0-1 |
| Jan 17 | Auxerre v Lens | 1-0 |
| Jan 04 | Auxerre v Stade B… | 2-0 |
| Dec 21 | Auxerre v AS Mona… | 1-2 |
Head-to-Head (7)
| Nov 01, 2025 | Auxerre | 0-1 | Olympique de … |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Auxerre | 3-0 | Olympique de … |
| Nov 08, 2024 | Olympique de … | 1-3 | Auxerre |
| Nov 08, 2024 | Olympique de … | 1-3 | Auxerre |
| Apr 30, 2023 | Olympique de … | 2-1 | Auxerre |
| Sep 03, 2022 | Auxerre | 0-2 | Olympique de … |
| Feb 10, 2021 | Auxerre | 0-2 | Olympique de … |
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)ODDS60+M70 (77.4%)TOP3vsBot (75.8%)M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
90%
Market
67%
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.