Bundesliga · Mar 15, 2026 16:30
SC Freiburg
PWR 34
Union Berlin
PWR 46
SC Freiburg
PWR 34
3-1
predicted
Union Berlin
PWR 46
35%
27%
38%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
SC Freiburg Win
Score
3-1
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (13%)3-0 (11%)1-0 (10%)2-1 (8%)3-1 (7%)1-1 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
59%
Under 2.5
41%
BTTS
No 44%
Over 3.5
30%
Team Comparison
47Attack60
51Defense70
Goals/G
1.62.0
Conc/G
1.71.0
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
SC Freiburg
LDLWL
STABLE
Union Berlin
LWWLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_LEAKING
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team draws 33% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw rateH2H: 3/6 draws (50%) = VERY HIGH riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (25.7%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.64
SC Freiburgvs
0.65
Union BerlinGoal Probability
SC Freiburg
0
7%
1
19%
2
25%
3
22%
4
14%
Union Berlin
0
52%
1
34%
2
11%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (12%)1-0 (10%)2-1 (9%)2-0 (8%)0-1 (8%)1-2 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 94% | 6% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 76% | 24% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 52% | 48% | - |
| 3.5 | 30% | 70% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 15% | 86% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#8
SC Freiburg+3
Gap#11
Union Berlin
WR 58% 34 pts
WR 25% 28 pts
SC Freiburg
6.0%
| Mar 12 | SC Frei… v Genk | 1-0 |
| Mar 07 | SC Frei… v Bayer L… | 3-3 |
| Mar 01 | SC Frei… v Eintrac… | 2-0 |
| Feb 22 | SC Frei… v Borussi… | 2-1 |
| Feb 14 | SC Frei… v 1899 Ho… | 3-0 |
| Feb 07 | SC Frei… v Werder … | 1-0 |
| Feb 01 | SC Frei… v VfB Stu… | 1-0 |
| Jan 29 | SC Frei… v Lille | 1-0 |
| Jan 25 | SC Frei… v FC Koln | 2-1 |
| Jan 22 | SC Frei… v Maccabi… | 1-0 |
Union Berlin
12.0%
| Mar 08 | Union B… v Werder … | 1-4 |
| Mar 07 | Union B… v Oberneu… | 4-2 |
| Mar 01 | Union B… v Sebalds… | 1-2 |
| Feb 28 | Union B… v Borussi… | 1-0 |
| Feb 21 | Union B… v Bayer L… | 1-0 |
| Feb 14 | Union B… v Hamburg… | 3-2 |
| Feb 06 | Union B… v Eintrac… | 1-1 |
| Jan 31 | Union B… v 1899 Ho… | 3-1 |
| Jan 24 | Union B… v Borussi… | 0-3 |
| Jan 18 | Union B… v VfB Stu… | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (6)
| Nov 01, 2025 | Union Berlin | 0-0 | SC Freiburg |
| Mar 30, 2025 | SC Freiburg | 1-2 | Union Berlin |
| Nov 08, 2024 | Union Berlin | 0-0 | SC Freiburg |
| May 18, 2024 | Union Berlin | 2-1 | SC Freiburg |
| May 18, 2024 | Union Berlin | 2-1 | SC Freiburg |
| Jan 13, 2024 | SC Freiburg | 0-0 | Union Berlin |
Decision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
93%
Standings
64%
Market
50%
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Union Berlin in strong form (3W in last 5)
SC Freiburg struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.