HNL · Mar 13, 2026 17:00
NK Varaždin
PWR 35
Vukovar
PWR 35
NK Varaždin
PWR 35
2-0
predicted
Vukovar
PWR 35
39%
26%
35%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Vukovar Win
Score
2-0
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (15%)2-0 (13%)1-1 (11%)2-1 (9%)0-0 (8%)3-0 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.41x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.96x
Over 2.5
44%
Under 2.5
56%
BTTS
No 43%
Over 3.5
32%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
NK Varaždin
LDLDL
STABLE
Vukovar
LLDDW
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk31%
Accuracy38%
HOME_LEAKING
Full data available (Tier 1)Home team draws 33% at home = very high riskH2H: 1/3 draws (33%) = HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (30.9%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
1.74
NK Varaždinvs
0.73
VukovarGoal Probability
NK Varaždin
0
18%
1
31%
2
27%
3
15%
4
7%
Vukovar
0
48%
1
35%
2
13%
3
3%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (11%)0-1 (10%)1-2 (10%)0-2 (8%)1-0 (7%)2-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 94% | 6% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 78% | 22% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 54% | 46% | - |
| 3.5 | 32% | 68% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 16% | 84% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 7% | 93% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
League Position
#5
NK Varaždin+5
Gap#10
Vukovar
WR 42% 34 pts
WR 0% 20 pts
NK Varaždin
4.0%
| Mar 10 | NK Vara… v Bjelovar | 2-0 |
| Mar 07 | NK Vara… v NK Loko… | 1-1 |
| Mar 06 | NK Vara… v Kustosi… | 3-0 |
| Feb 28 | NK Vara… v HNK Haj… | 1-1 |
| Feb 28 | NK Vara… v Uskok K… | 1-3 |
| Feb 22 | NK Vara… v Dinamo … | 0-4 |
| Feb 14 | NK Vara… v HNK Rij… | 3-1 |
| Feb 08 | NK Vara… v NK Osij… | 2-1 |
| Feb 07 | NK Vara… v Celtic | 1-1 |
| Feb 04 | NK Vara… v Kustosi… | 1-1 |
Vukovar
8.0%
| Mar 08 | Vukovar v HNK Rij… | 0-1 |
| Feb 28 | Vukovar v NK Osij… | 2-0 |
| Feb 20 | Vukovar v NK Slav… | 2-2 |
| Feb 15 | Vukovar v HNK Gor… | 0-0 |
| Feb 07 | Vukovar v Istra 1… | 3-2 |
| Feb 02 | Vukovar v Dinamo … | 3-1 |
| Jan 24 | Vukovar v NK Loko… | 2-1 |
| Jan 13 | Vukovar v NK Slav… | 2-2 |
| Dec 21 | Vukovar v HNK Haj… | 2-1 |
| Dec 12 | Vukovar v NK Vara… | 2-0 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Dec 12, 2025 | Vukovar | 2-0 | NK Varaždin |
| Sep 26, 2025 | NK Varaždin | 2-1 | Vukovar |
| Oct 15, 2023 | Vukovar | 0-0 | NK Varaždin |
Decision Breakdown
TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
80%
Standings
70%
Market
51%
High draw risk (53%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
NK Varaždin struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.