First NL · Mar 07, 2026 14:00
Jarun
PWR 35
Croatia Zmijavci
PWR 35
Jarun
PWR 35
4 - 0
FT
Croatia Zmijavci
PWR 35
37%
27%
36%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Jarun Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (13%)2-0 (13%)1-0 (8%)3-1 (7%)2-1 (7%)1-1 (4%)
CORRECT 4-0
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.51x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.69x
Over 2.5
61%
61%
Under 2.5
39%
BTTS
No 39%
Over 3.5
39%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Jarun
LLLDD
DOWN
Croatia Zmijav…
LWWLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team draws 36% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 3/10 draws (30%) = HIGH riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (29.1%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
3.10
Jarunvs
0.53
Croatia Zmijav…Goal Probability
Jarun
0
5%
1
14%
2
22%
3
22%
4
17%
Croatia Zmi…
0
59%
1
31%
2
8%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (12%)1-0 (10%)2-1 (10%)3-0 (9%)1-1 (8%)3-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 82% | 18% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 61% | 39% | - |
| 3.5 | 39% | 61% | - |
| 4.5 | 21% | 79% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
League Position
#9
Jarun+3
Gap#12
Croatia Zmi…
WR 46% 22 pts
WR 27% 20 pts
Jarun
4.0%
| Feb 28 | Jarun v Orijent… | 1-2 |
| Feb 22 | Jarun v HNK Cib… | 3-1 |
| Feb 14 | Jarun v Sesvete | 0-1 |
| Jan 28 | Jarun v Dubrava… | 2-2 |
| Nov 28 | Jarun v Opatija | 1-1 |
| Nov 22 | Jarun v Bsk Bij… | 2-2 |
| Nov 15 | Jarun v Rudes | 1-1 |
| Nov 08 | Jarun v Hrvace | 1-0 |
| Oct 31 | Jarun v Dugopol… | 3-1 |
| Oct 25 | Jarun v Karlova… | 3-1 |
Croatia Zmijav…
8.0%
| Mar 01 | Croatia… v Rudes | 0-1 |
| Feb 21 | Croatia… v Orijent… | 0-1 |
| Feb 15 | Croatia… v Hrvace | 2-1 |
| Nov 30 | Croatia… v HNK Cib… | 4-0 |
| Nov 23 | Croatia… v Dugopol… | 1-2 |
| Nov 14 | Croatia… v Sesvete | 1-1 |
| Nov 09 | Croatia… v Karlova… | 2-2 |
| Oct 31 | Croatia… v Opatija | 2-1 |
| Oct 26 | Croatia… v Dubrava… | 0-1 |
| Oct 18 | Croatia… v Bsk Bij… | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Oct 12, 2025 | Croatia Zmija… | 2-2 | Jarun |
| May 04, 2025 | Croatia Zmija… | 0-1 | Jarun |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Jarun | 1-1 | Croatia Zmija… |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Croatia Zmija… | 1-0 | Jarun |
| May 25, 2024 | Jarun | 1-1 | Croatia Zmija… |
| Dec 03, 2023 | Croatia Zmija… | 1-0 | Jarun |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Jarun | 5-2 | Croatia Zmija… |
| Apr 16, 2023 | Croatia Zmija… | 1-0 | Jarun |
| Mar 04, 2023 | Jarun | 2-1 | Croatia Zmija… |
| Oct 09, 2022 | Croatia Zmija… | 2-1 | Jarun |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
60%
Market
43%
High draw risk (52%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Jarun struggling (3L in last 5)
Croatia Zmijavci struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.