Premier League · Mar 10, 2026 13:00
Dire Dawa Kenema
PWR 35
Dire Dawa Kenema
PWR 35
0 - 2
FT
Arba Minch Kenema
PWR 35
PWR 35
39%
26%
35%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Dire Dawa Kenema Win
Score
1-1
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
0-1 (13%)0-2 (12%)1-1 (10%)1-2 (10%)0-3 (7%)0-0 (7%)
WRONG 0-2
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
49%
Under 2.5
51%
BTTS
No 47%
Over 3.5
21%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Dire Dawa Kene…
LWDLD
STABLE
Arba Minch Ken…
LWDDW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy38%
POSITION_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)WR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateHome team draws 33% at home = very high riskBoth teams low-scoring = 37.8% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesAway draws 42% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 75% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (34.6%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.81
Dire Dawa Kene…vs
1.87
Arba Minch Ken…Goal Probability
Dire Dawa K…
0
45%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
Arba Minch …
0
15%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (13%)1-0 (11%)0-1 (11%)0-0 (10%)2-1 (8%)1-2 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 91% | 10% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 68% | 32% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 42% | 58% | - |
| 3.5 | 21% | 79% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 9% | 91% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#11
Dire Dawa K…+9
Gap#20
Arba Minch …
WR 25% 28 pts
WR 25% 19 pts
Dire Dawa Kene…
8.0%
| Mar 09 | Dire Da… v Ethiopi… | 1-2 |
| Mar 05 | Dire Da… v Mekelle… | 1-2 |
| Mar 05 | Dire Da… v Hadiya … | 1-1 |
| Feb 26 | Dire Da… v Welayta… | 0-2 |
| Feb 26 | Dire Da… v Sheger … | 3-3 |
| Feb 22 | Dire Da… v Awassa … | 1-1 |
| Feb 21 | Dire Da… v Ethiopi… | 0-1 |
| Feb 06 | Dire Da… v Arba Mi… | 1-1 |
| Feb 04 | Dire Da… v Awassa … | 0-2 |
| Jan 31 | Dire Da… v Hadiya … | 2-0 |
Arba Minch Ken…
12.0%
| Mar 04 | Arba Mi… v Mebrat … | 1-4 |
| Feb 27 | Arba Mi… v Bahardar | 0-2 |
| Feb 22 | Arba Mi… v Negelle… | 1-1 |
| Feb 06 | Arba Mi… v Dire Da… | 1-1 |
| Feb 01 | Arba Mi… v Welwalo… | 1-2 |
| Jan 25 | Arba Mi… v Fasil K… | 2-3 |
| Jan 21 | Arba Mi… v Suhul S… | 1-0 |
| Jan 17 | Arba Mi… v Mekelak… | 0-2 |
| Jan 08 | Arba Mi… v Sidama … | 0-0 |
| Jan 03 | Arba Mi… v Awassa … | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Feb 06, 2026 | Arba Minch Ke… | 1-1 | Dire Dawa Ken… |
| Nov 04, 2025 | Arba Minch Ke… | 0-1 | Dire Dawa Ken… |
| May 17, 2025 | Dire Dawa Ken… | 1-0 | Arba Minch Ke… |
| Mar 05, 2025 | Dire Dawa Ken… | 1-3 | Arba Minch Ke… |
| Jan 13, 2025 | Arba Minch Ke… | 2-0 | Dire Dawa Ken… |
| Sep 20, 2024 | Arba Minch Ke… | 1-2 | Dire Dawa Ken… |
| Jun 29, 2023 | Arba Minch Ke… | 0-1 | Dire Dawa Ken… |
| Feb 16, 2023 | Dire Dawa Ken… | 1-3 | Arba Minch Ke… |
| Oct 15, 2022 | Dire Dawa Ken… | 1-3 | Arba Minch Ke… |
| Jun 19, 2022 | Dire Dawa Ken… | 0-3 | Arba Minch Ke… |
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player
40%
Momentum
35%
Standings
64%
Market
50%
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.