Premier League · Mar 10, 2026 13:00
Awassa Kenema
PWR 35
Awassa Kenema
PWR 35
1 - 0
FT
Mekelle Kenema
PWR 35
PWR 35
51%
24%
25%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Awassa Kenema Win
Score
2-0
Confidence
68%
TierGOLD
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (56%)1-0 (21%)0-1 (11%)1-1 (4%)2-0 (4%)0-2 (1%)
CORRECT 1-0
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.46x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.72x
Over 2.5
2%
Under 2.5
98%
98%
BTTS
No
No 6%
Over 3.5
2%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Awassa Kenema
DLDWW
STABLE
Mekelle Kenema
LDWLD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk34%
Accuracy73%
POSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAPTABLE_EXTREMES
Full data available (Tier 1)Both teams defensive = 40.0% draw rateH2H: 1/3 draws (33%) = HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesAway draws 42% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 67% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (33.9%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.38
Awassa Kenemavs
0.20
Mekelle KenemaGoal Probability
Awassa Kene…
0
68%
1
26%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
Mekelle Ken…
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (38%)1-0 (26%)0-1 (10%)2-0 (9%)1-1 (7%)2-1 (3%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 62% | 38% | - |
| 1.5 | 25% | 75% | UNDER |
| 2.5 | 7% | 93% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#2
Awassa Kene…+17
Gap#19
Mekelle Ken…
WR 50% 40 pts
WR 17% 22 pts
Awassa Kenema
12.0%
| Mar 04 | Awassa … v Welayta… | 1-1 |
| Feb 28 | Awassa … v Sidama … | 1-2 |
| Feb 22 | Awassa … v Dire Da… | 1-1 |
| Feb 04 | Awassa … v Dire Da… | 0-2 |
| Jan 30 | Awassa … v Mebrat … | 2-0 |
| Jan 25 | Awassa … v Bahardar | 0-0 |
| Jan 21 | Awassa … v Negelle… | 2-0 |
| Jan 17 | Awassa … v Ethiopi… | 1-1 |
| Jan 09 | Awassa … v Kedus G… | 1-0 |
| Jan 03 | Awassa … v Arba Mi… | 0-0 |
Mekelle Kenema
8.0%
| Mar 05 | Mekelle… v Dire Da… | 1-2 |
| Feb 26 | Mekelle… v Mekelak… | 0-0 |
| Feb 23 | Mekelle… v Suhul S… | 1-0 |
| Feb 05 | Mekelle… v Negelle… | 1-0 |
| Feb 01 | Mekelle… v Ethiopi… | 1-1 |
| Jan 25 | Mekelle… v Dire Da… | 0-0 |
| Jan 20 | Mekelle… v Mebrat … | 2-1 |
| Jan 15 | Mekelle… v Bahardar | 0-0 |
| Jan 09 | Mekelle… v Sheger … | 0-0 |
| Jan 05 | Mekelle… v Ethiopi… | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Nov 03, 2025 | Mekelle Kenema | 1-3 | Awassa Kenema |
| Mar 05, 2025 | Mekelle Kenema | 2-5 | Awassa Kenema |
| Dec 05, 2024 | Awassa Kenema | 0-0 | Mekelle Kenema |
Decision Breakdown
TOP3vsBot (75.8%)TOP3_VS_REL (80.8%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
94%
Market
44%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.