Super League · Mar 08, 2026 10:00

Kisumu All Stars
PWR 35
0 - 0
FT

Nzoia Sugar FC
PWR 35
43% 25% 32%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (42% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
42%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
0-1 (19%)0-0 (17%)1-1 (12%)1-0 (11%)0-2 (10%)1-2 (7%)
WRONG 0-0
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.75x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.49x
Over 2.5
26%
Under 2.5 74%
74%
BTTS No
No 32%
Over 3.5
10%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Kisumu All Sta… LLLDW
DOWN
Nzoia Sugar FC DWLLD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk36%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityHome team draws 30% at home = very high riskBoth teams defensive = 40.0% draw rateH2H: 1/3 draws (33%) = HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskAway draws 55% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 85% = 50.7% draw rate
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.66
Kisumu All Sta…
vs
1.10
Nzoia Sugar FC
Goal Probability
Kisumu All …
0
52%
1
34%
2
11%
3
3%
4
0%
Nzoia Sugar…
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
CORRECT SCORES
0-1 (21%)0-0 (17%)0-2 (13%)1-1 (11%)1-0 (9%)1-2 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 83% 17% OVER
1.5 53% 47% -
2.5 26% 74% UNDER
3.5 10% 90% UNDER
4.5 3% 97% UNDER
5.5 1% 99% UNDER
6.5 0% 100% UNDER
League Position
#18
Kisumu All …
-7
Gap
#11
Nzoia Sugar…
WR 40% 18 pts WR 27% 29 pts
Kisumu All Sta… 6.0%
Feb 28 Kisumu … v Talanta 5-1
Feb 21 Kisumu … v 3K 0-2
Feb 15 Kisumu … v Mombasa… 4-0
Feb 01 Kisumu … v Mathare… 0-0
Jan 25 Kisumu … v MCF 2-1
Jan 18 Kisumu … v Nairobi… 1-1
Jan 10 Kisumu … v Fortune… 2-1
Dec 21 Kisumu … v Luanda … 3-1
Dec 17 Kisumu … v MOFA 1-1
Dec 12 Kisumu … v Naivas 1-0
Nzoia Sugar FC 8.0%
Mar 01 Nzoia S… v Nairobi… 0-0
Feb 20 Nzoia S… v Vihiga … 0-4
Feb 15 Nzoia S… v Gucha S… 0-2
Jan 31 Nzoia S… v Equity … 1-0
Jan 25 Nzoia S… v MOFA 1-1
Jan 18 Nzoia S… v Soy Uni… 0-2
Jan 12 Nzoia S… v Darajan… 1-4
Dec 22 Nzoia S… v Migori … 1-0
Dec 17 Nzoia S… v Luanda … 0-0
Dec 12 Nzoia S… v Kabati … 0-0
Head-to-Head (3)
Nov 23, 2025 Nzoia Sugar FC 2-0 Kisumu All St…
May 04, 2025 Kisumu All St… 3-1 Nzoia Sugar FC
Dec 15, 2024 Nzoia Sugar FC 1-1 Kisumu All St…
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
45%
Standings
36%
Market
35%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Kisumu All Stars struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.