Queensland Premier League · Mar 07, 2026 07:00
Capalaba
PWR 35
Logan Lightning
PWR 35
Capalaba
PWR 35
0 - 0
FT
Logan Lightning
PWR 35
37%
27%
36%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Logan Lightning Win
Score
1-0
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-2 (9%)1-1 (9%)2-2 (7%)2-1 (7%)1-3 (6%)0-2 (6%)
WRONG 0-0
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
2.62x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.32x
Over 2.5
67%
67%
Under 2.5
33%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 68%
Over 3.5
47%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Capalaba
LLLWW
DOWN
Logan Lightning
WLWWD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk31%
Accuracy38%
HOME_LEAKING
Full data available (Tier 1)WR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateBoth teams low-scoring = 37.8% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 4/10 draws (40%) = VERY HIGH riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (30.7%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
1.50
Capalabavs
2.05
Logan LightningGoal Probability
Capalaba
0
22%
1
34%
2
25%
3
13%
4
5%
Logan Light…
0
13%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4
10%
CORRECT SCORES
1-2 (10%)1-1 (8%)0-2 (7%)1-3 (7%)0-1 (7%)2-2 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 97% | 3% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 87% | 13% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 69% | 31% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 47% | 53% | - |
| 4.5 | 28% | 72% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 15% | 85% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 7% | 93% | UNDER |
League Position
#12
Capalaba-6
Gap#6
Logan Light…
WR 0% 0 pts
WR 0% 3 pts
Capalaba
8.0%
| Feb 28 | Capalaba v Brisban… | 0-2 |
| Feb 21 | Capalaba v Caboolt… | 1-3 |
| Aug 24 | Capalaba v Magic U… | 1-6 |
| Aug 16 | Capalaba v Redland… | 0-1 |
| Aug 02 | Capalaba v Holland… | 2-3 |
| Jul 04 | Capalaba v Caboolt… | 4-1 |
| Jun 28 | Capalaba v Caboolt… | 1-2 |
| Jun 15 | Capalaba v Logan L… | 3-1 |
| May 31 | Capalaba v Brisban… | 4-1 |
| May 09 | Capalaba v Logan L… | 1-4 |
Logan Lightning
14.0%
| Feb 28 | Logan L… v North S… | 4-0 |
| Feb 20 | Logan L… v Holland… | 2-0 |
| Aug 30 | Logan L… v Brisban… | 1-0 |
| Aug 27 | Logan L… v Rocheda… | 2-1 |
| Aug 24 | Logan L… v Broadbe… | 1-1 |
| Aug 16 | Logan L… v Rocheda… | 3-2 |
| Aug 03 | Logan L… v Magic U… | 5-0 |
| Jul 04 | Logan L… v Holland… | 0-1 |
| Jun 15 | Logan L… v Capalaba | 3-1 |
| May 27 | Logan L… v Holland… | 1-2 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Jun 15, 2025 | Logan Lightni… | 3-1 | Capalaba |
| May 09, 2025 | Capalaba | 1-4 | Logan Lightni… |
| Jul 05, 2024 | Logan Lightni… | 1-1 | Capalaba |
| Jun 11, 2024 | Capalaba | 1-2 | Logan Lightni… |
| Aug 11, 2023 | Logan Lightni… | 1-0 | Capalaba |
| May 06, 2023 | Capalaba | 2-2 | Logan Lightni… |
| Aug 06, 2022 | Logan Lightni… | 3-2 | Capalaba |
| May 07, 2022 | Capalaba | 2-2 | Logan Lightni… |
| Oct 08, 2021 | Logan Lightni… | 3-2 | Capalaba |
| May 01, 2021 | Capalaba | 3-3 | Logan Lightni… |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
43%
Standings
38%
Market
35%
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Logan Lightning in strong form (3W in last 5)
Capalaba struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.