Queensland NPL · Mar 14, 2026 05:00
Magic United
PWR 35
PWR 35
1-0
predicted
Moreton City Excelsior
PWR 35
PWR 35
45%
25%
30%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
X2 (Away/Draw)
Double Chance · Odds imply 76% away + 14% draw = 90% combined
96%
accuracy
1.17x
Final Verdict
Prediction
Magic United Win
Score
1-0
Confidence
55%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-1 (8%)3-1 (7%)2-2 (7%)1-1 (6%)3-2 (6%)1-2 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
Home/Draw
4.3x
DC X2
90%
Away/Draw
1.17x
Over 2.5
75%
75%
Under 2.5
25%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 76%
Over 3.5
89%
89%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Magic United
LLWWW
DOWN
Moreton City E…
LLWWW
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk25%
Accuracy56%
FORM_MOMENTUMAWAY_LEAKING
Full data available (Tier 1)Bookmaker consensus confirms AWAY at 76%⚠️ Bookmaker disagrees: favours AWAY at 76%Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (24.5%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.65
Magic Unitedvs
1.69
Moreton City E…Goal Probability
Magic United
0
7%
1
19%
2
25%
3
22%
4
15%
Moreton Cit…
0
19%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4
6%
CORRECT SCORES
3-2 (5%)4-2 (5%)3-3 (4%)4-3 (4%)3-1 (4%)4-1 (4%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 100% | 0% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 89% | 11% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 78% | 23% | OVER |
| 5.5 | 63% | 37% | - |
| 6.5 | 47% | 53% | - |
League Position
#10
Magic United-1
Gap#9
Moreton Cit…
WR 33% 3 pts
WR 0% 3 pts
Magic United
12.0%
| Mar 08 | Magic U… v Gold Co… | 0-7 |
| Feb 28 | Magic U… v Peninsu… | 0-3 |
| Feb 21 | Magic U… v Gold Co… | 3-1 |
| Sep 06 | Magic U… v Brisban… | 2-1 |
| Aug 24 | Magic U… v Capalaba | 1-6 |
| Aug 16 | Magic U… v Caboolt… | 2-1 |
| Aug 09 | Magic U… v Ipswich | 0-1 |
| Aug 03 | Magic U… v Logan L… | 5-0 |
Moreton City E…
12.0%
| Mar 06 | Moreton… v WDSC Wo… | 3-0 |
| Feb 28 | Moreton… v Brisban… | 2-1 |
| Feb 20 | Moreton… v Gold Co… | 4-1 |
| Nov 29 | Moreton… v Marconi… | 1-0 |
| Nov 22 | Moreton… v Avondale | 1-3 |
| Nov 14 | Moreton… v Melbour… | 3-3 |
| Nov 08 | Moreton… v Sydney … | 3-3 |
| Nov 02 | Moreton… v Broadme… | 5-1 |
| Oct 26 | Moreton… v Sydney … | 1-2 |
| Oct 19 | Moreton… v Melbour… | 2-0 |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
79%
Standings
48%
Market
35%
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Magic United in strong form (3W in last 5)
Moreton City Excelsior in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.