New South Wales NPL · Mar 13, 2026 08:30

Manly United
PWR 35
0 - 1
FT

Western Sydney Wanderers II
PWR 35
43% 25% 32%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (42% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
42%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-1 (9%)3-1 (8%)1-1 (7%)2-0 (7%)3-0 (6%)2-2 (6%)
WRONG 0-1
All Markets
1X2 Suggested
H
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.49x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.89x
Over 2.5 69%
69%
Under 2.5
31%
BTTS Yes
Yes 67%
Over 3.5
18%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Manly United LLDDW
DOWN
Western Sydney… WLLWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team draws 50% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 2/7 draws (29%) = HIGH riskHome team drew 2/5 recent games
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.1
Expected Goals (xG)
2.50
Manly United
vs
1.29
Western Sydney…
Goal Probability
Manly United
0
8%
1
21%
2
26%
3
21%
4
13%
Western Syd…
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4
3%
CORRECT SCORES
0-1 (15%)1-1 (13%)0-0 (11%)0-2 (10%)1-0 (10%)1-2 (9%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 89% 11% OVER
1.5 65% 35% OVER
2.5 38% 62% -
3.5 19% 82% UNDER
4.5 8% 93% UNDER
5.5 3% 97% UNDER
6.5 1% 99% UNDER
League Position
#10
Manly United
-2
Gap
#8
Western Syd…
WR 50% 5 pts WR 33% 6 pts
Manly United 8.0%
Mar 07 Manly U… v St Geor… 1-0
Feb 27 Manly U… v Sydney 2-0
Feb 20 Manly U… v Wests A… 2-2
Feb 14 Manly U… v Blackto… 0-0
Feb 06 Manly U… v St Geor… 1-0
Aug 31 Manly U… v St Geor… 1-2
Jul 25 Manly U… v Western… 3-2
Jun 27 Manly U… v St Geor… 0-2
Jun 08 Manly U… v Sydney 1-0
May 16 Manly U… v St Geor… 0-0
Western Sydney… 8.0%
Mar 06 Western… v Sutherl… 2-3
Feb 28 Western… v St Geor… 1-0
Feb 22 Western… v Sydney 3-2
Feb 14 Western… v Sydney … 4-0
Feb 08 Western… v Rockdal… 0-2
Aug 23 Western… v St Geor… 3-0
Aug 09 Western… v St Geor… 1-1
Aug 02 Western… v Rockdal… 0-0
Jul 25 Western… v Manly U… 3-2
Jun 14 Western… v Sydney 0-3
Head-to-Head (7)
Jul 25, 2025 Manly United 3-2 Western Sydne…
Apr 12, 2025 Western Sydne… 2-0 Manly United
Jul 14, 2024 Western Sydne… 0-1 Manly United
Apr 07, 2024 Manly United 0-5 Western Sydne…
Aug 12, 2023 Manly United 2-2 Western Sydne…
Apr 29, 2023 Western Sydne… 2-1 Manly United
Aug 07, 2020 Manly United 0-0 Western Sydne…
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
83%
Standings
46%
Market
49%
High draw risk (47%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Western Sydney Wanderers II struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.