CONMEBOL Recopa · Feb 20, 2026 00:30
Lanús
PWR 77
Flamengo
PWR 23
Lanús
PWR 77
1 - 0
FT
Flamengo
PWR 23
41%
26%
33%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
Over 2.5
Goals · Home scores 2.0/g, Away concedes 2.0/g, expected 3.0 goals
75%
accuracy
1.75x
Final Verdict
Prediction
Lanús Win
Score
3-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (10%)2-0 (8%)3-1 (7%)2-1 (6%)1-0 (4%)1-1 (3%)
CORRECT 1-0
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
65%
65%
Under 2.5
35%
BTTS
Yes 51%
Over 3.5
68%
68%
Team Comparison
70Attack35
65Defense30
Goals/G
2.01.0
Conc/G
1.02.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Lanús
LDDWW
STABLE
Flamengo
WWWDL
UP
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (27.0%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
3.67
Lanúsvs
0.74
FlamengoGoal Probability
Lanús
0
3%
1
9%
2
17%
3
21%
4
19%
Flamengo
0
48%
1
35%
2
13%
3
3%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
2-1 (7%)3-1 (7%)2-2 (6%)3-2 (6%)4-1 (5%)1-1 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 95% | 5% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 84% | 16% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 68% | 32% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 49% | 51% | - |
| 5.5 | 32% | 68% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 19% | 81% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
Lanús+1
Gap#2
Flamengo
WR 100% 6 pts
WR 0% 0 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lanús | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| Flamengo | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
Lanús
12.0%
| Feb 13 | Lanús v Indepen… | 2-0 |
| Feb 09 | Lanús v Tallere… | 1-1 |
| Feb 04 | Lanús v Institu… | 2-2 |
| Jan 29 | Lanús v Unión S… | 2-1 |
| Jan 23 | Lanús v San Lor… | 2-3 |
| Jan 19 | Lanús v Sarmien… | 4-1 |
| Nov 27 | Lanús v Tigre | 0-1 |
| Nov 14 | Lanús v Atlétic… | 3-1 |
| Nov 09 | Lanús v San Mar… | 1-1 |
| Nov 04 | Lanús v Banfield | 2-1 |
Flamengo
14.0%
| Feb 15 | Flamengo v Botafogo | 1-2 |
| Feb 11 | Flamengo v Vitoria | 1-2 |
| Feb 08 | Flamengo v Sampaio… | 7-1 |
| Feb 04 | Flamengo v Interna… | 1-1 |
| Feb 01 | Flamengo v Corinth… | 0-1 |
| Jan 29 | Flamengo v São Pau… | 2-1 |
| Jan 25 | Flamengo v Flumine… | 2-1 |
| Jan 22 | Flamengo v Vasco D… | 1-0 |
| Jan 18 | Flamengo v Volta R… | 3-0 |
| Jan 15 | Flamengo v Bangu | 2-1 |
Decision Breakdown
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Flamengo in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.