Serie A · Mar 12, 2026 23:00
São Paulo FC
PWR 35
Chapecoense
PWR 35
São Paulo FC
PWR 35
4-1
predicted
Chapecoense
PWR 35
61%
22%
17%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
1X (Home/Draw)
Double Chance · Odds imply 66% home + 21% draw = 87% combined
92%
accuracy
1.21x
Final Verdict
Prediction
São Paulo FC Win
Score
4-1
Confidence
55%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (18%)2-0 (16%)1-0 (9%)3-1 (4%)2-1 (3%)0-0 (3%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
87%
Home/Draw
1.21x
DC X2
Away/Draw
3.08x
Over 2.5
57%
Under 2.5
43%
BTTS
No
No 19%
Over 3.5
42%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
São Paulo FC
LWWWW
STABLE
Chapecoense
WLLLD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk24%
Accuracy56%
FORM_MOMENTUMPOSITION_GAP
Full data available (Tier 1)Consider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (24.3%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
3.39
São Paulo FCvs
0.22
ChapecoenseGoal Probability
São Paulo FC
0
3%
1
11%
2
19%
3
22%
4
19%
Chapecoense
0
80%
1
18%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-1 (10%)1-1 (9%)2-0 (8%)1-0 (8%)3-1 (7%)2-2 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 84% | 16% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 64% | 36% | - |
| 3.5 | 42% | 58% | - |
| 4.5 | 24% | 76% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 12% | 88% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
League Position
#2
São Paulo FC+8
Gap#10
Chapecoense
WR 100% 10 pts
WR 0% 5 pts
São Paulo FC
16.0%
| Mar 01 | São Pau… v Palmeir… | 2-1 |
| Feb 25 | São Pau… v Corinth… | 0-1 |
| Feb 21 | São Pau… v RB Brag… | 1-2 |
| Feb 15 | São Pau… v Ponte P… | 1-2 |
| Feb 12 | São Pau… v Remo | 2-0 |
| Feb 07 | São Pau… v Primave… | 2-1 |
| Feb 04 | São Pau… v Santos | 1-1 |
| Jan 31 | São Pau… v Santos | 2-0 |
| Jan 29 | São Pau… v Flamengo | 2-1 |
| Jan 24 | São Pau… v Palmeir… | 3-1 |
Chapecoense
6.0%
| Mar 08 | Chapeco… v Barra | 1-0 |
| Mar 01 | Chapeco… v Barra | 3-1 |
| Feb 22 | Chapeco… v Brusque | 3-0 |
| Feb 14 | Chapeco… v Brusque | 1-0 |
| Feb 11 | Chapeco… v Corinth… | 3-3 |
| Feb 08 | Chapeco… v Criciúma | 0-0 |
| Feb 05 | Chapeco… v Vasco D… | 1-1 |
| Feb 01 | Chapeco… v Criciúma | 1-2 |
| Jan 28 | Chapeco… v Santos | 4-2 |
| Jan 25 | Chapeco… v Joinvil… | 6-0 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Oct 03, 2021 | Chapecoense | 1-1 | São Paulo FC |
| Jun 16, 2021 | São Paulo FC | 1-1 | Chapecoense |
Decision Breakdown
CS68+S65 (82.8%)S70+DR<22 (82.1%)S75+DR<25 (81.8%)M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%)HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%)M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%)ODDS55+CS68 (80.3%)CS68+S70+DR<25 (80.0%)GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)ODDS60+DR<22 (78.0%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)ODDS60+M70 (77.4%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)CS68+M80 (75.0%)HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)CS65+DR<30 (68.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
76%
Market
68%
Key Factors
São Paulo FC in strong form (4W in last 5)
Chapecoense struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.