Serie A · Mar 12, 2026 00:30
Flamengo
PWR 35
Cruzeiro
PWR 35
Flamengo
PWR 35
2 - 0
FT
Cruzeiro
PWR 35
25%
29%
46%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Cruzeiro Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-3 (6%)2-2 (6%)3-3 (5%)3-2 (5%)1-3 (5%)1-2 (5%)
WRONG 2-0
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
85%
Home/Draw
1.23x
DC X2
Away/Draw
2.8x
Over 2.5
79%
79%
Under 2.5
21%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 87%
Over 3.5
30%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Flamengo
DLLLL
STABLE
Cruzeiro
WWDDW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk33%
Accuracy38%
HOME_LEAKING
Full data available (Tier 1)WR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateHome team draws 100% at home = very high riskPoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 2/6 draws (33%) = HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskCombined DR 125% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (32.7%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
2.51
Flamengovs
3.01
CruzeiroGoal Probability
Flamengo
0
8%
1
20%
2
26%
3
21%
4
13%
Cruzeiro
0
5%
1
15%
2
22%
3
22%
4
17%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (12%)0-1 (10%)1-2 (9%)0-2 (8%)1-0 (7%)2-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 94% | 6% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 76% | 24% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 52% | 48% | - |
| 3.5 | 30% | 70% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 15% | 85% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#11
Flamengo+7
Gap#18
Cruzeiro
WR 0% 5 pts
WR 0% 3 pts
Flamengo
2.0%
| Mar 08 | Flamengo v Flumine… | 0-0 |
| Mar 03 | Flamengo v Madurei… | 0-8 |
| Feb 27 | Flamengo v Lanús | 2-3 |
| Feb 22 | Flamengo v Madurei… | 3-0 |
| Feb 20 | Flamengo v Lanús | 1-0 |
| Feb 15 | Flamengo v Botafogo | 1-2 |
| Feb 11 | Flamengo v Vitoria | 1-2 |
| Feb 08 | Flamengo v Sampaio… | 7-1 |
| Feb 04 | Flamengo v Interna… | 1-1 |
| Feb 01 | Flamengo v Corinth… | 0-1 |
Cruzeiro
16.0%
| Mar 08 | Cruzeiro v Atletic… | 1-0 |
| Feb 28 | Cruzeiro v Pouso A… | 1-0 |
| Feb 25 | Cruzeiro v Corinth… | 1-1 |
| Feb 25 | Cruzeiro v Platense | 0-0 |
| Feb 21 | Cruzeiro v Pouso A… | 1-2 |
| Feb 14 | Cruzeiro v Uniao T… | 1-2 |
| Feb 11 | Cruzeiro v Mirassol | 2-2 |
| Feb 11 | Cruzeiro v Municip… | 1-1 |
| Feb 08 | Cruzeiro v América… | 2-0 |
| Feb 06 | Cruzeiro v Corinth… | 1-2 |
Head-to-Head (6)
| Oct 02, 2025 | Flamengo | 0-0 | Cruzeiro |
| May 04, 2025 | Cruzeiro | 2-1 | Flamengo |
| Nov 07, 2024 | Cruzeiro | 0-1 | Flamengo |
| Jun 30, 2024 | Flamengo | 2-1 | Cruzeiro |
| Oct 19, 2023 | Cruzeiro | 0-2 | Flamengo |
| May 27, 2023 | Flamengo | 1-1 | Cruzeiro |
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player
40%
Momentum
44%
Standings
61%
Market
65%
High draw risk (54%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Cruzeiro in strong form (3W in last 5)
Flamengo struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.