Copa Verde · Feb 06, 2025 19:00
Brasiliense
PWR 35
Capital Brasilia
PWR 35
Brasiliense
PWR 35
0 - 0
FT
Capital Brasilia
PWR 35
51%
24%
25%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
Under 2.5
Goals · Low scoring expected: 0.5 total goals avg
80%
accuracy
1.7x
Final Verdict
Prediction
Brasiliense Win
Score
?
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (21%)0-0 (19%)2-0 (12%)1-1 (11%)0-1 (10%)2-1 (6%)
WRONG 0-0
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
23%
Under 2.5
77%
77%
BTTS
No
No 28%
Over 3.5
24%
Team Comparison
0Attack18
100Defense83
Goals/G
0.00.5
Conc/G
0.00.5
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Brasiliense
WWWLL
UP
Capital Brasil…
DWLDD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateAway team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (28.4%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.14
Brasiliensevs
0.53
Capital Brasil…Goal Probability
Brasiliense
0
32%
1
37%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
Capital Bra…
0
59%
1
31%
2
8%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (13%)1-0 (12%)2-1 (9%)0-1 (9%)2-0 (9%)0-0 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 92% | 8% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 71% | 29% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 46% | 54% | - |
| 3.5 | 24% | 76% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#10
Brasiliense-1
Gap#9
Capital Bra…
WR 0% 2 pts
WR 0% 2 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brasiliense | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Capital Brasi… | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Brasiliense
12.0%
| Feb 02 | Brasili… v Uberlân… | 0-1 |
| Jan 25 | Brasili… v Real FC | 0-3 |
| Jan 19 | Brasili… v Samamba… | 2-1 |
| Mar 24 | Brasili… v Capital… | 3-2 |
| Mar 21 | Brasili… v Capital… | 1-3 |
| Mar 10 | Brasili… v Samamba… | 3-1 |
| Mar 07 | Brasili… v Uberlân… | 0-0 |
| Mar 03 | Brasili… v Capital… | 1-0 |
| Feb 14 | Brasili… v Real FC | 1-0 |
| Feb 07 | Brasili… v Gama | 2-0 |
Capital Brasil…
10.0%
| Feb 01 | Capital… v Sobradi… | 1-1 |
| Jan 29 | Capital… v Real FC | 2-0 |
| Jan 26 | Capital… v Samamba… | 1-0 |
| Jan 22 | Capital… v Uberlân… | 1-1 |
| Apr 06 | Capital… v Uberlân… | 0-0 |
| Mar 31 | Capital… v Uberlân… | 1-1 |
| Mar 24 | Capital… v Brasili… | 3-2 |
| Mar 21 | Capital… v Brasili… | 1-3 |
| Mar 03 | Capital… v Brasili… | 1-0 |
| Feb 14 | Capital… v Samamba… | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (7)
| Mar 24, 2024 | Capital Brasi… | 3-2 | Brasiliense |
| Mar 21, 2024 | Brasiliense | 1-3 | Capital Brasi… |
| Mar 03, 2024 | Brasiliense | 1-0 | Capital Brasi… |
| Apr 02, 2023 | Brasiliense | 1-0 | Capital Brasi… |
| Mar 26, 2023 | Capital Brasi… | 0-2 | Brasiliense |
| Feb 08, 2023 | Capital Brasi… | 0-0 | Brasiliense |
| Mar 27, 2022 | Brasiliense | 0-1 | Capital Brasi… |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
68%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (51%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Brasiliense in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.