USL League One Cup · Jun 29, 2025 02:00
Oakland Roots
PWR 77
Monterey Bay
PWR 23
Oakland Roots
PWR 77
2 - 1
FT
Monterey Bay
PWR 23
33%
27%
40%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
Over 2.5
Goals · Home scores 2.0/g, Away concedes 2.0/g, expected 3.0 goals
75%
accuracy
1.75x
Final Verdict
Prediction
ELITE: Oakland Roots to win (95% confidence)
Score
2-0
Confidence
95%
TierELITE
LIKELY SCORES
0-2 (20%)0-1 (19%)0-3 (14%)0-0 (9%)1-2 (6%)1-1 (6%)
WRONG 2-1
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
42%
Under 2.5
58%
BTTS
No
No 23%
Over 3.5
55%
Team Comparison
70Attack35
65Defense30
Goals/G
2.01.0
Conc/G
1.02.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Oakland Roots
WLDLL
STABLE
Monterey Bay
WWWDL
UP
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): League One
Expected Goals (xG)
0.30
Oakland Rootsvs
2.15
Monterey BayGoal Probability
Oakland Roo…
0
74%
1
22%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
Monterey Bay
0
12%
1
25%
2
27%
3
19%
4
10%
CORRECT SCORES
2-1 (9%)3-1 (8%)2-0 (7%)1-1 (7%)3-0 (6%)2-2 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 98% | 2% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 90% | 10% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 75% | 25% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 55% | 45% | - |
| 4.5 | 35% | 65% | - |
| 5.5 | 20% | 80% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
League Position
#4
Oakland Roo…+7
Gap#11
Monterey Bay
WR 100% 3 pts
WR 0% 0 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oakland Roots | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Monterey Bay | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Oakland Roots
6.0%
| Jun 22 | Oakland… v Birming… | 0-1 |
| Jun 15 | Oakland… v Colorad… | 1-0 |
| Jun 08 | Oakland… v El Paso… | 0-0 |
| May 25 | Oakland… v New Mex… | 0-3 |
| May 16 | Oakland… v North C… | 4-2 |
| May 11 | Oakland… v San Ant… | 1-2 |
| May 04 | Oakland… v Sacrame… | 0-1 |
| Mar 16 | Oakland… v Montere… | 3-2 |
| Nov 03 | Oakland… v Colorad… | 2-0 |
| Oct 27 | Oakland… v Birming… | 0-5 |
Monterey Bay
14.0%
| Mar 16 | Montere… v Oakland… | 3-2 |
| Jun 22 | Montere… v Oakland… | 2-1 |
| Apr 07 | Montere… v Oakland… | 0-1 |
| Sep 24 | Montere… v Oakland… | 2-2 |
| Jul 16 | Montere… v Oakland… | 1-3 |
| Feb 26 | Montere… v Oakland… | 0-1 |
| Jun 05 | Montere… v Oakland… | 0-2 |
Head-to-Head (7)
| Mar 16, 2025 | Monterey Bay | 3-2 | Oakland Roots |
| Jun 22, 2024 | Monterey Bay | 2-1 | Oakland Roots |
| Apr 07, 2024 | Oakland Roots | 0-1 | Monterey Bay |
| Sep 24, 2023 | Oakland Roots | 2-2 | Monterey Bay |
| Jul 16, 2023 | Monterey Bay | 1-3 | Oakland Roots |
| Feb 26, 2023 | Monterey Bay | 0-1 | Oakland Roots |
| Jun 05, 2022 | Monterey Bay | 0-2 | Oakland Roots |
Decision Breakdown
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player
40%
Momentum
35%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Monterey Bay in strong form (3W in last 5)
Oakland Roots struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.