Liga Pro · Mar 17, 2026 21:30

Universidad CatĂłlica
PWR 35
4-1
predicted

Deportivo Cuenca
PWR 35
33% 27% 40%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Universidad CatĂłlica Win
Score
4-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (12%)1-0 (12%)2-1 (9%)2-0 (9%)0-1 (8%)0-0 (8%)
All Markets
1X2 Suggested
H
Over 2.5
47%
Under 2.5
53%
BTTS
Yes 51%
Over 3.5
24%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Universidad Ca… LWDLL
STABLE
Deportivo Cuen… WWWLD
UP
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk30%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateBoth teams defensive = 40.0% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 1/3 draws (33%) = HIGH riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (29.6%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.55
Universidad Ca…
vs
1.04
Deportivo Cuen…
Goal Probability
Universidad…
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
13%
4
5%
Deportivo C…
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
7%
4
2%
CORRECT SCORES
0-1 (15%)0-2 (13%)1-1 (11%)1-2 (9%)0-0 (9%)0-3 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 92% 9% OVER
1.5 71% 29% OVER
2.5 45% 55% -
3.5 24% 76% UNDER
4.5 11% 90% UNDER
5.5 4% 96% UNDER
6.5 1% 99% UNDER
League Position
#7
Universidad…
-3
Gap
#4
Deportivo C…
WR 100% 4 pts WR 50% 6 pts
Universidad Ca… 6.0%
Mar 08 Univers… v Cibao 0-3
Mar 08 Univers… v Leones … 3-0
Mar 01 Univers… v Mushuc … 0-0
Mar 01 Univers… v Delfine… 2-3
Feb 21 Univers… v Salcedo 2-0
Feb 14 Univers… v Atlétic… 2-3
Feb 13 Univers… v Juventud 3-4
Feb 07 Univers… v Moca 0-0
Feb 06 Univers… v Juventud 0-1
Jan 31 Univers… v Cibao 4-2
Deportivo Cuen… 14.0%
Mar 08 Deporti… v Aucas 0-1
Mar 05 Deporti… v Liberta… 3-0
Mar 01 Deporti… v Barcelo… 2-1
Feb 22 Deporti… v Delfín … 1-0
Feb 08 Deporti… v Guayaqu… 0-0
Dec 20 Deporti… v Emelec 5-1
Dec 13 Deporti… v Macará 0-1
Dec 06 Deporti… v Delfín … 0-0
Dec 03 Deporti… v Univers… 0-0
Nov 30 Deporti… v Aucas 2-1
Head-to-Head (3)
Dec 03, 2025 Deportivo Cue… 0-0 Universidad C…
Sep 28, 2025 Universidad C… 2-1 Deportivo Cue…
Jun 01, 2025 Deportivo Cue… 3-1 Universidad C…
Decision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
67%
Standings
44%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Deportivo Cuenca in strong form (3W in last 5)
Universidad CatĂłlica struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.