Primera División · Mar 18, 2026 21:00
Metropolitanos FC
PWR 35
Monagas SC
PWR 35
Metropolitanos FC
PWR 35
3-0
predicted
Monagas SC
PWR 35
53%
23%
24%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Metropolitanos FC Win
Score
3-0
Confidence
55%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (11%)2-0 (10%)3-1 (8%)2-1 (7%)1-0 (6%)1-1 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
65%
65%
Under 2.5
35%
BTTS
Yes 50%
Over 3.5
34%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Metropolitanos…
WDWDL
STABLE
Monagas SC
WDLLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy56%
AWAY_LEAKINGPOSITION_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)Home team draws 67% at home = very high riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesCombined DR 67% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (26.7%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
3.22
Metropolitanos…vs
0.74
Monagas SCGoal Probability
Metropolita…
0
4%
1
13%
2
21%
3
22%
4
18%
Monagas SC
0
48%
1
35%
2
13%
3
3%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (10%)1-1 (10%)2-0 (10%)2-1 (10%)3-0 (6%)3-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 95% | 5% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 79% | 21% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 56% | 44% | - |
| 3.5 | 34% | 67% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 17% | 83% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
League Position
#4
Metropolita…+10
Gap#14
Monagas SC
WR 33% 9 pts
WR 0% 3 pts
Metropolitanos…
12.0%
| Mar 08 | Metropo… v Portugu… | 3-2 |
| Mar 04 | Metropo… v Caracas… | 0-0 |
| Mar 01 | Metropo… v Deporti… | 0-1 |
| Feb 20 | Metropo… v Carabob… | 1-1 |
| Feb 13 | Metropo… v UCV | 3-2 |
| Feb 08 | Metropo… v Real Es… | 2-2 |
| Jan 30 | Metropo… v Puerto … | 1-1 |
| Nov 09 | Metropo… v Deporti… | 2-0 |
| Nov 05 | Metropo… v Carabob… | 0-4 |
| Nov 01 | Metropo… v Caracas… | 1-1 |
Monagas SC
6.0%
| Mar 08 | Monagas… v Trujill… | 3-1 |
| Mar 04 | Monagas… v Puerto … | 0-0 |
| Feb 27 | Monagas… v Portugu… | 4-0 |
| Feb 22 | Monagas… v Deporti… | 2-3 |
| Feb 13 | Monagas… v Carabob… | 1-0 |
| Feb 07 | Monagas… v UCV | 0-3 |
| Jan 31 | Monagas… v Real Es… | 2-0 |
| Nov 08 | Monagas… v Zamora | 1-0 |
| Nov 04 | Monagas… v Puerto … | 3-2 |
| Oct 31 | Monagas… v Real Es… | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Aug 30, 2025 | Monagas SC | 2-0 | Metropolitano… |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Metropolitano… | 2-2 | Monagas SC |
Decision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
75%
Market
50%
High draw risk (29%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Monagas SC struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.