Back Stats
Liga 3 · Mar 15, 2026 15:00
Fafe
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
AD Marco 09
PWR 35
53% 23% 24%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (9%)3-0 (9%)2-1 (8%)3-1 (8%)1-0 (6%)1-1 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5 66%
66%
Under 2.5
34%
BTTS
Yes 56%
Over 3.5
38%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Fafe DWLWD
STABLE
AD Marco 09 DWLLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League has >30% draw rate
High draw league: Liga 3
Expected Goals (xG)
2.93
Fafe
vs
0.90
AD Marco 09
Goal Probability
Fafe
0
5%
1
16%
2
23%
3
22%
4
16%
AD Marco 09
0
41%
1
37%
2
17%
3
5%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (14%)3-0 (11%)1-0 (11%)2-1 (9%)3-1 (7%)1-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 96% 5% OVER
1.5 82% 18% OVER
2.5 60% 40% -
3.5 38% 62% -
4.5 20% 80% UNDER
5.5 10% 91% UNDER
6.5 4% 96% UNDER
League Position
#7
Fafe
+1
Gap
#8
AD Marco 09
WR 33% 24 pts WR 22% 19 pts
Fafe 12.0%
Mar 08 Fafe v Paredes 0-0
Mar 01 Fafe v Sanjoan… 3-2
Feb 21 Fafe v São Joã… 1-0
Feb 15 Fafe v SC Braga 2-1
Feb 04 Fafe v Moreire… 1-1
Jan 25 Fafe v SC Braga 2-2
Jan 18 Fafe v Guimara… 1-0
Jan 14 Fafe v SC Braga 2-1
Jan 10 Fafe v São Joã… 0-4
Jan 04 Fafe v Varzim 1-0
AD Marco 09 6.0%
Mar 08 AD Marc… v Sanjoan… 1-1
Mar 01 AD Marc… v São Joã… 2-1
Feb 22 AD Marc… v SC Braga 2-0
Feb 14 AD Marc… v Paredes 0-2
Jan 25 AD Marc… v Varzim 1-3
Jan 18 AD Marc… v Trofense 0-1
Jan 11 AD Marc… v Paredes 0-3
Jan 04 AD Marc… v SC Braga 2-1
Dec 21 AD Marc… v São Joã… 2-1
Dec 14 AD Marc… v Amarante 3-2
Head-to-Head (2)
Dec 07, 2025 AD Marco 09 1-1 Fafe
Aug 24, 2025 Fafe 0-0 AD Marco 09
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
55%
Market
50%
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
AD Marco 09 struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.